by liberal japonicus
Yes, I know that the Battle of Marathon was the Athenians versus the Persians, but it is hard not to hear that phrase in my mind when I read this article from A. Wess Mitchell, "a principal at The Marathon Initiative and a former assistant secretary of state for Europe and Eurasia during the Trump administration". A quick jump to the Marathon Initiative, their webpage has a 4 photo slideshow which are
- The 1814 Congress of Vienna
- Teddy Roosevelt posing with Russian and Japanese negotiators
- The 1943 Casablanca conference with Churchill, FDR, De Gaulle and Henri Giraud where Roosevelt unveiled the requirement of 'unconditional surrender' by the Axis
- and 1957 Paris summit of the heads of state of NATO
Ahh, the good ole days...
While one might ponder why anyone who worked in the Trump Administration might be worthy of paying attention to, an amuse-bouche from the piece:
The United States is a heartbeat away from a world war that it could lose. There are serious conflicts requiring U.S. attention in two of the world’s three most strategically important regions. Should China decide to launch an attack on Taiwan, the situation could quickly escalate into a global war on three fronts, directly or indirectly involving the United States. The hour is late, and while there are options for improving the U.S. position, they all require serious effort and inevitable trade-offs. It’s time to move with real urgency to mobilize the United States, its defenses, and its allies for what could become the world crisis of our time.
Did I say amuse-bouche? Not sure what the French is for 'making one throw up a little in the back of their throat'. I left the link in, which is to a WSJ op-ed which riffs off of Jack Nicolson's line in 'A Few Good Men'. Not the one that was Jack Nicolson's threat against Tom Cruise when he gets arrested, but it might was well be. A couple other gems:
As Russia mobilizes for a long war in Ukraine and a new front opens in the Levant, the temptation will grow for a rapidly arming China to make a move on Taiwan. Already, Beijing is testing Washington in East Asia, knowing full well that the United States would struggle to deal with a third geopolitical crisis. If war does come, the United States would find some very important factors suddenly working against it.
"The Levant" is a keeper. Someone must have played too many games of Risk as a teen. Again, I leave the links in for folks to click, but the first one is to the Moscow Times, which has this:
The record defense spending shows that the Kremlin has no intention of ending its war against Ukraine anytime soon: on the contrary. Even if the fighting becomes less intense or the conflict becomes frozen, the money will go toward replenishing Russia’s depleted military arsenals. Likewise, it has enough cash to fund an escalation such as the imposition of martial law or full mobilization.
Yes, I, like everyone else of my ilk, thought that Russia was just going to toss in the towel and turn all their munitions into plowshares.
This is not to claim that there is nothing to worry about with Taiwan, but tying it into some sort of three front conflict is not going to help keep things tamped down. But hey, defending Western Civilization from the barbarians doesn't need nuance. Anyway, a thread for musings about global stuff.
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