« The Other Stuff | Main | What do you say to Covid if it were your barber? »

March 24, 2020

Comments

Epoch Times is a Falun Gong news outlet. They don't just have an axe to grind, they own the foundry.

They don't just have an axe to grind, they own the foundry.

ohhh, that's a keeper!

Isn't the Order of Magnitude a secret cabal running stuff behind the scenes? ;-)

Excellent long read on vaccine development:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/27/inside-the-race-to-develop-a-coronavirus-vaccine-covid-19

China has 61,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 people!

And USA Today has innumerate copy editors. Or more likely no copy editors at all.

And the educational system....oh well, let's not go there.

Hey cleek, are you missing a zero?

61,000,000 + 25 zeroes?

Now we can argue about whether "3 times larger than" means the same thing as "3 times as large as."

Escapism for nerds. ;-)

Hey cleek, are you missing a zero?

cat stole it

"Orders of magnitude" is irresistibly cool sounding. They couldn't help themselves.

Now I'm left wondering if "exponential growth" being truly applicable has resulted in exponential growth of the use of "exponential growth." People seem to like using that, too, even when it's not the correct description.

"expotential growth" is different

hsh -- you have landed smack in the middle of my theory of language change. Language change happens because everyone wants to sound like the cool kids!

For example, the word "candidate" is ubiquitous in our perpetual campaign season. I pronounce it to rhyme with "date." Until 2012, I had never heard it pronounced any other way.

During the presidential campaign that year I started to hear people on NPR (and elsewhere) pronouncing it "candi-duht." (Sort of.) Appalling! The new pronunciation spread like a...well, like a virus, actually, to the point where I heard people pronouncing it both ways in the same sentence, so strong was the desperate need to be cool in the face of a long ingrained habit.

Similarly: the spread of the "shtr" pronunciation in words with "str" -- "adminishtration" instead of "administration." This is becoming ever more common, if subtly so.

I am not going to chase links right now, but I read early on that "candi-duht" has long been common in the upper midwest, and "shtr" for (what's spelled as) "str" has long been common among African-Americans.

Then I listened to Michelle Obama's book on one of my Ohio trips and I suddently had a very strong hunch as to who the cool kids were who had made these changes spread so fast.....

*****

All that said, that's a different phenomenon from using "orders of magnitude" when you don't even know what it means. Okay, sometimes we don't know what we don't know...but to harp on a sore point, that's what copy editors are for.

*****

hsh added a comment about "exponential growth" while I was writing. That reminds me of long, long ago when Turbulence waxed irritated about the use of "quantum leap" to mean very very large, when it fact a quantum leap is very very tiny. I always thought the (mis)usage came from people wanting to emphasis the discontinuity of a leap... (This is designed to bring Turbulence back out of lurking, if that wasn't obvious. ;-)

Where's my copy editor?

Or my proofreader.....

Oh, for an edit button.

"candidate"... I had never heard it pronounced any other way.

the word has too many d's. remove one, to fit with common pronunciation.

can-id-ate.

Similarly: the spread of the "shtr" pronunciation in words with "str" -- "adminishtration" instead of "administration."

That is actually a result of alcohol consumption. Which is also becoming ever more common, especially among those who are professionally obliged to talk about the administration.

can-id-ate.

That may be a southern/southwester/western variance. It's how I pronounce 'candidate'.

It occurs to me that the usage of "quantum leap" that irritated Turb is like the almost ubiquitous usage of "decimate" to mean, roughly, "nearly wiped out," when the literal meaning is to eliminate ten percent.

Similarly the use of "penultimate" to mean "ultimate," when it actually means "next to last."

Cue our resident classical scholar, unless he's busy at an Order of Magnitude meeting....

I am not going to chase links right now, but I read early on that "candi-duht" has long been common in the upper midwest

This is the common pronunciation in the UK, but since when have the Brits been the cool kids....

Pronunciation drift is different from the adoption of a phrase, though. I think the pronunciation drift is driven as much by the growth of YouTube as a media platform as anything else. YouTubers don't go to broadcast school to get themselves Iowized.

As for the "exponential growth" "quantum leap" and the like. I blame the SATs and SAT prep and timed writing exams. Those phrases get larded into writing like "well greaved Achaeans" and "rosy cheeked dawn" as a strategy for falutin' up and padding out a piece of shallow, hastily (conceived and) written prose. It's how freshman turn 400 word ideas into 1200 word papers, and it takes a lot of convincing to break them of this cursed habit.

Rosy-fingered dawn. But I like your rejection of the gambit.

And here I thought it was "rosy fingered dawn". Which to my mind is a better description of how dawn looks. (At least in this part of the country.) That's probably why I misremembered it.

GftNC, thanks for the validation. Perhaps memory loss hasn't set in after all....

Also wine-dark sea. But I like "falutin up". I think that The Social Network may have been the first time I heard "lawyered up", but it was immediately attractive, and seems pretty widespread now. Maybe it already was in the US?

Similarly the use of "penultimate" to mean "ultimate," when it actually means "next to last."

Not to mention preantipenultimate...

For those of us who prefer to give a couple more chances.

Preantepenultimate, dammit.

Pronunciation drift is different from the adoption of a phrase, though.

But the latter is happening through YouTube as well. The 8-year-old kid of a friend of mine spouts British-isms he asborbed by watching StampyLongnose Minecraft videos. For that matter, I spout them sometimes because almost all I read these days is mystery novels set in the UK.

And by the way, speaking of new phrases...

You (nous) recently wrote: "Returning fire here is not firing for effect," and I had to come to a screeching halt to work out what it meant. I'd love to have you explain it so I can decide whether I deciphered it correctly. I assume it's vocab from your field...?

Similarly with "in the pocket." That one I went looking for, and was comforted to find out that even people who were familiar with it weren't in total agreement about what it meant.

Meanwhile, I first read "Iowized" not as "Iowa-ized" but as "low-ized," and I thought you were at it again, that is, using words I would have to go look up. ;-)

"Falutin' up" -- goes in the pantheon with "they don't just have an axe to grind, they own the foundry." You're on a roll!

Nigel: was absolutely unaware of preantepenultimate! You live and (constantly) learn.

nous, I too had initial trouble with the "firing" phrase Janie quotes. But I heartily agree on axe/foundry. Now I'm going to check what "in the pocket of" means, other than the way I used it.

Don't get me started on the Roman calendar and its backward counting including the current day. Admittedly, Germans used to mean 'the same day next week' when they said 'in 8 days' until quite recently.
In Latin high and low/deep are the same word ('altus') and 'ultimus' and 'extremus' can mean the first or the last depending on context.
This makes translating Lovecraft into Latin pure horror.
Back to the Oger of Magatude.

GftNC -- a quibble, but it's important to the difference in meaning. It wasn't "in the pocket of," it was just "in the pocket." It was music-related, to help you in your search.

Also, "lawyered up" has been around for a while, AFAIK. I'd guess it was originally a play on "buttered up." ?

By "in the pocket of" I meant:

Under the direct control or influence of someone or some group, especially through illegal or unscrupulous financial means. (from the Free Dictionary - first thing I cam across).

Am now chasing alternatives of which I was unaware, for educational purposes...

Hi, McKinney! How's bidness?

--TP

Per Hartmut: Oh, the arguments I've been in about what "next weekend" means....

Apologies, Janie, I egocentrically thought you were referring to this of mine in the barber/Covid thread:

Given that many of the Rs involved in this are also in thrall to (and in the pockets of) the military-industrial complex

And someone hand me a far-shadowing spear, please.
Nothing beats the 'langhinschattende Lanze' of the traditional German tranlsation yet.

nous, a few days ago:

More musical distraction for those with a taste for heavy psychedelic blues. If Kingston Wall had been from Texas, they would have been legends, but instead they are legends in Finland and mostly unknown in the rest of the world. They epitomize the classic power trio format - incredible guitar playing over the top of one of the tightest pockets I have ever heard

I had forgotten that he hadn't explicitly written "in the pocket." If he had, it would have come up right away. If I put "in the pocket" into a Google search box, the top result is from the Urban Dictionary.

I was finding stuff like this.

This reminds me of the time a few of us (my sib, a friend and I) ended up having an impromptu "encyclopaedia party" (pre-internet). Someone looked something up, which prompted another search, then another, and on. It was a gas.

Three wizards are eating fried chicken on a train travelling west at 30 mph. The wizard sitting closest to the window says he's going to cast a spell next weekend.

Discuss.

Oh, and it's Wednesday.

hsh ... I'm not sure I will ever stop laughing.

You win the thread. I think you win the internet.

And your score is 800!!!!!

(Or am I dating myself?)

Rosy cheeked Dawn probably is one of those freshpersons..

And your score is 800!!!!!

Yes!

On a less funny note, a few days ago GftNC mentioned Rump's improving poll numbers as reported on 538. He's now polling better than he has since just after he took office. I don't understand.

my guess: people don't know what part of this effort is Trump's doing vs what the state and local governments are responsible for, and they're crediting Trump for all of it?

and, they liked seeing Fauci.

Oh, the arguments I've been in about what "next weekend" means....

Saturday thru Tuesday, it means the one coming up, that is, in less than 8 days. Thursday and Friday, it means the one after the coming one, that is in 8 to 10 days.

And Wednesday is confusing. ;-)

The emergency aid bill has not yet passed. Why not? Because Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) decided he would demand for a quorum call -- that is, require that a majority of the members be present to vote. Which means we're waiting for enough members to fly back to Washington to achieve a quorum. Instead of just passing it "by unanimous consent", which is how things like this would normally happen.

You know someone is being an exceptional assh*le when President Trump calls him a “third-rate Grandstander” on Twitter. Which happened this morning.

I'm not sure whether to hope he goes the way of the preacher that was mentioned here yesterday, or whether just having his constituents vote him out would be sufficient. Probably the former, not least because people who keep electing him aren't likely to finally boot him out over this.

He's now polling better than he has since just after he took office. I don't understand.

You start with 10% of the population (the ones outside the 41% who routinely approve and the 50% who routinely disapprove) who are basically disengaged. Now, their lives are being disrupted over some virus. And what they see on the news (probably without listening to the details of what's said) is Trump surrounded by presumed experts talking about what us being done to get back to normal. They want to get back to normal, so they approve.

And his ratings rise. Temporarily, since once they can go back to their normal lives they'll be back to ignoring politics again.** But for Trump, for whom "long range" vision is maybe 24 hours, the current bump is enough to celebrate.

** Of course, if they don't get back to normal in a couple of weeks, which seems likely, they will join the Disapprove group.

Because Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) decided he would demand for a quorum call...

That pesky Constitution! Always getting in the way of getting things done!

I like the idea that everyone will be on the record when they vote on that monster of a bill.

Rosy-cheeked Dawn was from the Hummel Iliad collection.

"Fire for Effect" is an artillery term. At the start of a fire mission, the battery usually fires off a single round at a time to find the right range and coordinates for their shells. Once the forward observer confirms that the ordnance is landing in range of where it can do proper damage, the order is to "fire for effect," and the battery lets loose its full destructive power where it can do the most damage.

That pesky Constitution! Always getting in the way of getting things done!

Um, no. Not even close. The Constitution is entirely silent on the subject. It's just the House's internal rules on how it will conduct business.

But nice try at justifying the despicable.

Each House shall be the Judge of the Elections, Returns and Qualifications of its own Members, and a Majority of each shall constitute a Quorum to do Business;
US Constitution ARTICLE I, SECTION 5, CLAUSE 1 Quorum requirement:

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/27/politics/coronavirus-stimulus-house-vote/index.html

Failed third-rate Grandstander

The billionaire Tom Golisano was smoking a Padron cigar on his patio in Florida on Tuesday afternoon. He was worried. “The damages of keeping the economy closed as it is could be worse than losing a few more people,” said Golisano, founder and chairman of the payroll processor Paychex Inc. “I have a very large concern that if businesses keep going along the way they’re going, then so many of them will have to fold.”

h/t

You'd think people would be smart enough not to say these things even if they're awful enough to think them.

“The damages of keeping the economy closed as it is could be worse than losing a few more people,”

This particular fnckwad doesn't understand either math or English.

Or in billionairespeak, "few" = a couple million.

in the pocket, sans preposition.

So, our heir to the throne and Prime Minister (and health minister) have it. How close to the throne (if you follow me) is it creeping stateside? And if not close, it makes you wonder how people who talked of it being hysteria, were behaving in private.

also in the pocket.

How close to the throne (if you follow me) is it creeping stateside?

Close enough that, even back when they were totally downplaying the threat in public, folks like Mulvaney got themselves tested. Twice! Who knows how many more tests since. We have a serious shortage of testing capacity nationwide, so maybe only weekly . . . for everybody in the West Wing?

Haven't heard about anyone close to Trump actually coming down visibly sick. But would they admit it if it happened? Although it would probably be possible to notice the germaphobe-in-chief freaking out.

still in the pocket

I'ma stop now, just not enough hours in a day to do justice to all of it

Pence and his wife were tested, earlier this week. i think it was this week... could have been last month, last year, 2003. time is strange these days,

Boris Johnson apparently has tested positive.

More than 800,000 physicians across the country signed a letter urging President Donald Trump to keep social distancing practices in place after he said he wants to reopen businesses by Easter.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/doctors-trump-social-distancing_n_5e7e0bb3c5b6256a7a29273f?fbclid=IwAR3kNsuBVzFzrGB-LL7OmW-M2wY1E_DnHaiVR1kXXIDxSIk_11Crx3-ZKxQ

ooh. nice URL.

i forgot this site doesn't truncate them for display.

I was going to ask, somewhat cheekily and somewhat humbly, when a good musical performance wasn't "in the pocket." But then I looked at the Urban Dictionary again and scrolled down to find this:

A complimentary reference describing a live musical performance, akin to an athlete being in "the zone".

Now I get it. (I think.)

The difference between an athlete being "in the zone" and musicians being "in the pocket" is that an athlete can be in the zone all by themself, but the pocket must be occupied by the whole rhythm section.

It's when the rhythm section is playing the same groove (ahead, on, or behind the beat) and they maintain that groove precisely in time with each other, especially on the downbeats.

Speaking of sports, it's sixteen days since the NBA announced it was suspending its season, an event that was maybe the biggest single turning point in millions of people realizing that the situation was dire.

It feels like sixteen years. It feels so long ago, I was surprised today when someone mentioned it and I had to realize that I had forgotten all about it.

Thanks, nous!

they maintain that groove precisely in time with each other

I'll expand on this slightly.

Depennding on the style, different performers can be in different positions relative to each other, and / or relative to metronomic time, while still being way deep in the pocket. The tension between the time placement of the different players can actually be what creates the overall feel - the way the pocket feels.

Check this out.

The drummer is just on top of (ahead of) metronomic time, especially the bass drum, but also the snare drum *except for* the hit on the fourth beat, which is pretty much right on the beat at first, but then he lets it move up a bit as the tune goes on to turn the heat up on the groove just a bit. Without speeding up, he just shifts where what he plays sits relative to metronomic time.

Somebody, I can't quite tell who - accordian, or a guitar with a bit of reverb going on, maybe Vincent Nguni, the guy with the red guitar, or maybe it's Simon himself on acoustic guitar - is consistently just behind the time.

Mark Stewart, the guy with the ginger ninja hair, who plays the lead guitar lines - is mostly a little ahead, except for the line he plays in the middle of the tune, where he hangs way back.

The crispy percussion sounds - shakers etc - are pretty much in metronomic time.

The whole thing has a push-pull feel that is just greasy as hell. It's what makes the tune go. It's the rhythm equivalent of harmonic dissonance - it creates a kind of frisson that draws you in.

this:

an athlete can be in the zone all by themself, but the pocket must be occupied by the whole rhythm section

is right on.

and to further bore you all with musical nerdisms -

especially on the downbeats

I'd expand this slightly to say 'especially on the part of the time feel that has the most weight'. Which, depending on style, may not be the downbeat.

For jazz, it's often the offbeat, especially after the second or fourth beats (in four-four time). In Latin music, often between the second and third beat - the syncopated part of the bajon or "Spanish triplet" that is to Latin music what the downbeat is to Anglos.

Ya know, I played quite a bit of music in my day, including, when I was a teenager, as a choir and play accompanist at school, and as church organist; and later as a half-assed fiddler in a slapdash local contradance band. I have a pretty good ear as far as tunes go, and I can put (what I know now are) simple chords to simple melodies.

But russell -- your latest link is as far outside my range as if I had lost my hearing entirely. I don't know how many times I would have to listen to it to really hear a single thing you said was there.

There's more I'd like to say/ask, but I gotta get outside before I go stir crazy.

Thanks, russell and nous, for an educational day.

Groove and pocket: Chicago - I'm A Man Live at Tanglewood:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPZUgfOqAdg

ooh. nice URL.

Starting with the "?", the rest of the URL can be deleted. It's just HuffPost tracking how you came to it and where you go with their link. :)

GftNC, or anyone else, what is the deal with this?

https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/coronavirus-after-pm-johnson-tests-positive-top-adviser-runs-from-downing-street

So far no news on why Dominic Cummings was running. It may not be significant. The interesting thing is that apparently he was very gung ho behind the "herd immunity" strategy until a briefing on the 12th of March, whereupon he pivoted significantly. It does appear that he is altogether too fucking influential on public policy and BoJo's strategy, but on the other hand, they do seem to be following medical/scientific advice on the whole. We shall see. More news on Dominic Cummings if I hear anything.

Well, I did observe that CoVID is doing a great job of separating the grifters who realize they are spouting BS from the ones who actually believe it.

This thread turned awesome.

When you are on the board all of those things matter. To capture, live shows, all of the nuance requires an unexpected amount of practice and, well call it patience. The board is like the bottom end. It cant fix a bad song but it can certainly ruin a great one.

Every link a gem russell.

A beautiful line from Leonard Pitts:

Karma is here and she’s in a foul mood.

Thinking about the things that are so obvious to russell that I can't hear at all makes me remember the following passage from David Foster Wallace's famous essay on Federer, which is itself preternaturally wonderful.

There are three kinds of valid explanation for Federer’s ascendancy. One kind involves mystery and metaphysics and is, I think, closest to the real truth. The others are more technical and make for better journalism.

The metaphysical explanation is that Roger Federer is one of those rare, preternatural athletes who appear to be exempt, at least in part, from certain physical laws. Good analogues here include Michael Jordan,(7) who could not only jump inhumanly high but actually hang there a beat or two longer than gravity allows, and Muhammad Ali, who really could “float” across the canvas and land two or three jabs in the clock-time required for one. There are probably a half-dozen other examples since 1960. And Federer is of this type — a type that one could call genius, or mutant, or avatar. He is never hurried or off-balance. The approaching ball hangs, for him, a split-second longer than it ought to. His movements are lithe rather than athletic. Like Ali, Jordan, Maradona, and Gretzky, he seems both less and more substantial than the men he faces. Particularly in the all-white that Wimbledon enjoys getting away with still requiring, he looks like what he may well (I think) be: a creature whose body is both flesh and, somehow, light.

This thing about the ball cooperatively hanging there, slowing down, as if susceptible to the Swiss’s will — there’s real metaphysical truth here. And in the following anecdote. After a July 7 semifinal in which Federer destroyed Jonas Bjorkman — not just beat him, destroyed him — and just before a requisite post-match news conference in which Bjorkman, who’s friendly with Federer, says he was pleased to “have the best seat in the house” to watch the Swiss “play the nearest to perfection you can play tennis,” Federer and Bjorkman are chatting and joking around, and Bjorkman asks him just how unnaturally big the ball was looking to him out there, and Federer confirms that it was “like a bowling ball or basketball.” He means it just as a bantery, modest way to make Bjorkman feel better, to confirm that he’s surprised by how unusually well he played today; but he’s also revealing something about what tennis is like for him. Imagine that you’re a person with preternaturally good reflexes and coordination and speed, and that you’re playing high-level tennis. Your experience, in play, will not be that you possess phenomenal reflexes and speed; rather, it will seem to you that the tennis ball is quite large and slow-moving, and that you always have plenty of time to hit it. That is, you won’t experience anything like the (empirically real) quickness and skill that the live audience, watching tennis balls move so fast they hiss and blur, will attribute to you.

I loved that essay, Janie, and I love that extract.

OK, I know almost nothing of Andrew Cuomo. And suddenly people are sending me stuff like this:

Seth Abramson (@House building) @SethAbramson · 5h This is the moment @NYGovCuomo became—according to betting markets—the second-place candidate in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary, with a 7% chance of becoming the nominee, per the most recent data. These 25 minutes of today's coronavirus briefing. Gov.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hZ6M7FBJu9c&feature=youtu.be&t=1394

I'd be interested to hear any response from ObWi commenters.

I should have said any opinion, not any response!

The excellent bit on Federer reminds me of Ted Williams, the Splendid Splinter, whose 20/10 eyesight made the ball that much more visible.

Nonetheless, he did his homework.

Most people have something - some particular area of interest - in which they have developed more-than-average powers of discrimination.

Music, art, literature, but also clothing, cooking, science. Probably accounting and house-painting for that matter.

The natural gift takes you some distance, but at some point the homework begins.

Engaging with things in terms of their own particular qualities. The first steps on the path to devotion.

It's a good thing. It takes us out of ourselves.

Marty, you do some pro sound back in the day?

Cool clip of Chicago, nous, thank you!

russell, club work for 4 or 5 bands. A few auditoriums shows. I really spent a lot of time in practice "studios". Good local bands in the late 70's early 80's.

My retirement plan is to have a studio.

Cool.

Please allow me to expand slightly on myself.

an unexpected amount of practice and, well call it patience.

^^^^^ this ^^^^^^^

Surprising how deep even the simplest things are, and how much there is to discover, and the amount of practice and patience all of that can summon from us.

Cool.

Very cool.

Cool clip of Chicago, nous, thank you!

I don’t think I’ve ever seen anyone that deeply grooving on the cowbell.

I wasn't sure where to put this but since this about politics, I decided to drop it here. We all have our own take-away's from the current crisis. Here is mine, worth its weight in gold.

Six months from now, people will be telling the rest of us how all of this was eminently foreseeable and that if we had just done X or Y at the federal level, much of what we are currently experiencing would have been significantly mitigated.

Or, people will look back and rewrite or simply forget much of what has transpired, because it does not fit the modern, more-government-is-better narrative.

I seem to recall, at the outset of the CV onslaught, lefties almost instantly, if not reflexively, seized on the inadequacies of the US healthcare system and political leadership compared to the rest of the world.

So, here are two links:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/03/coronavirus-pandemic-europe-wasnt-ready-it-may-never-fully-recover/#slide-1

The hard numbers aren't especially encouraging for advocates of the European approach to healthcare or for the EU's leftish leaning leadership. It seems that ours isn't the only leadership that fiddled while Rome burned. IIRC, when DT "closed the borders", there was a bit of a lefty hue and cry. Now, the EU countries have closed their borders to each other. Some union. Perhaps the irony here is only apparent to people like me. Also ironic is the silence on the left as Greek civilians were and are physically barring entry into Greece of Syrian refugees whose migration is being encouraged by Turkey. And the almost complete lack of anger on the left with the PRC for its incompetent if not criminal failure to warn and quarantine in a timely fashion.
It seems as if the outside narrative doesn’t fit with the domestic political agenda, it just isn’t there.

And then, on other fronts, Japan and Sweden seem to be taking a completely different approach to CV, yet no heads are exploding at Slate, Salon or here at what, if DT were to propose it, would be the grossest example yet of his incompetence.

Meanwhile, here in Texas, a statewide grocery store, back in 2005, devised its own contingency plan for a pandemic. The store is HEB and it is successfully getting food and necessaries to Texans, paying its people more during the crisis, and doing so without any fanfare. HEB also rallied on the Gulf Coast post Harvey. Feel free to complain about lack of funding for governmental programs and all that, but the cost of making plans is minimal and at least one private sector actor has done and done so effectively. Perhaps it isn't money so much as it is competence.

My prediction is that, when we get past this, some of us will find that ad hoc blending of private and local government did more and did more effectively in the US than any national leadership anywhere in the world, including the US.

Assuming anyone responds to this, I'm aware of Dan Patrick's statement. Of all of the political leaders in Texas, he probably is the lest well known and least influential, which made the reaction to what he said even funnier than it normally would have been.

That said, I hope everyone is weathering this storm as well as can be expected. All the best to all of you and yours.

My retirement plan is to have a studio.

guy three houses down did that. he made a fortune somehow, retired really early, and now just runs a recording studio out here in the woods.

The rise in the polls is all rally around the flag, which usually shows up in crisis polling. Carter jumped from 32% to 58% when the Iran hostage crisis hit and W got a 30 point jump from 9/11. Other world leaders have shown larger increases than T. The notable thing with him is how small the bump is. (I saw the Carter number on Kevin Kruse's twitter feed.)

It may be worth noting how brief that "rally 'round the flag" can be. Especially when it looks like the leader isn't actually getting the crisis addressed effectively. See Carter and the Iran hostage crisis for that, too.

However, if the crisis substantially abated by even mid June it will be hard to make it a negative in the election, an Aug/Sep rebound of the economy really hurts the Dem candidate.

The best to hope for is doofus keeps picking on Midwest Governors.

How to win a popularity contest. Not just for yourself but for everything you represent.

when city officials in Philadelphia tried to reopen Hahnemann Hospital, which closed last year, they hit a roadblock: the city couldn’t or wouldn’t come up with enough money to satisfy the private equity firm that shut the facility down. “We just think they’re unaware of the realities of the market,” a spokesman for the building’s owner [Joel Freedman, a Los Angeles-based investor] told NBC’s Philadelphia affiliate.
"realities of the market" -- that will definitely resonate with those who can't get a hospital bed.

if the crisis substantially abated by even mid June it will be hard to make it a negative in the election

Unless, of course, the predicted fall second surge in cases becomes visible in October.

The best to hope for is doofus keeps picking on Midwest Governors.

And not just this, but for him to go on explicitly making federal help available only to governors who are "appreciative", and for the media to keep running clips which show him saying so.

Also, the friend I mentioned who was in the ICU is now off the ventilator, and breathing by himself. Hip hip hooray!

Greetings. I've tried to put up the same comment twice. I think it's in your spam trap.

wj: Yup. fixed (it's back at 10:40 AM)

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment

Your Information

(Name is required. Email address will not be displayed with the comment.)