by hilzoy
Every time I write about Zimbabwe, the news is even worse than before. Every time, I cannot imagine how Robert Mugabe could possibly stay in power when things are so bad. And every time, I remember all the previous times and think: things have gotten so much worse than I ever thought possible that I have no idea whether there is a bottom to Zimbabwe's misery, and if so, where it might be.
The latest catastrophe is a cholera epidemic:
"In recent months, cholera has killed more than 570 people and infected more than 12,700 others in Zimbabwe. The disease has since surfaced in Botswana and Mozambique. Zambia, to the north, is screening for symptoms at border posts. (...)"
"The outbreak is worst in Harare, much of which has no running water because the bankrupt government cannot buy purifying chemicals and pipes are broken. In the packed townships, sewage runs freely.
The start of the rainy season is threatening to spread bacteria, while the summer heat is increasing the need to drink -- though many people are too poor to buy wood to build fires for boiling what little water they can find.
Making matters worse, a health-care system that was once one of Africa's finest has fully collapsed after years of deterioration, Western diplomats and local health-care workers say. Government hospitals have shut down, in part because hyperinflation has left employees unable to pay for transportation to work on their salaries.
"Our central hospitals are literally not functioning," Health Minister David Parirenyatwa said at a meeting of government and international aid officials Wednesday, according to the state-run Herald newspaper.
Western diplomats and health-care workers say emergency services are nonexistent because of shortages of supplies and staff. Power outages mean surgeries are performed by the light of cellphones. A scarcity of coal means medical waste is incinerated only sporadically."
The cholera epidemic is due to a lack of clean water, garbage collection, and functioning sewage systems:
"Most of Zimbabwe's urban areas have gone for several months without water. Many urban households are unable to use their toilets, which are completely blocked by overflowing sewage. Last month, key institutions such as the High Court and Parliament buildings in Harare had to be closed because of the acute lack of water.
Zimbabwean cities have battled to provide water and refuse collection services while the country is subject to frequent power cuts, a result of a severe foreign currency squeeze. The current cholera outbreak is blamed on broken down sewers, uncollected garbage and a shortage of clean drinking water in Zimbabwe's cities."
And that is due to the fact that Zimbabwe's water company took over providing (and charging money for) water, but didn't bother to maintain the water system. In other words, they used it to get cash as long as they could, and let it collapse.
Meanwhile, Oxfam's Country Director for Zimbabwe says that "almost half of Zimbabwe's 13 million population have been weakened by serious food shortages and indications were that more than 5 million people will urgently need food aid by January." As of Nov. 14th, Zimbabwe's inflation rate was estimated at 89,700,000,000,000,000,000,000%. (And no, my finger didn't just get stuck on the zero key: that is 89.7 sextillion percent.) A lot of transactions are now carried out in foreign currencies, which leaves people who don't have a ready way of getting dollars or rand out in the cold.
The one possible sign of hope is that the Army is rioting (more background here and here):
"Starting Nov. 27 and continuing until Monday, Army soldiers rampaged through the capital, Harare, after hearing that the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe would be unable to print enough currency to pay their daily wages. Hundreds of soldiers took their anger out on street vendors, looting the markets for food and other goods. (...)
The looting by members of the armed forces is the beginning of an end to Mr. Mugabe's regime, says University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer John Makumbe. "It might look or sound small, but it is an indication of the dissatisfaction that is in the Army and the general public of Zimbabwe," he says."
The riots are, of course, horrible for the shopkeepers, forex traders, and other civilians who are harmed in them. But they are the only sign so far that Mugabe's hold on power might possibly be weakening.
"The one possible sign of hope is that the Army is rioting"
Wow. Just think about that. When the army is rioting, things are really bad. And if that's a sign of hope, there really isn't much hope, is there? I wish the best for the people of Zimbabwe, but I can't muster any optimism. What a disaster. The only good thing here is that we are doing nothing. If we got involved, we'd screw it up even more. We'd just install someone like Idi Amin.
Posted by: fostert | December 05, 2008 at 10:43 PM
I'm always amazed at the resiliency of people living under tyrannical rule. Africa is broken in so many ways, but its potential is still great, in no small part due to its people. We need to do what we can to help the cause of education and economic development in Africa.
Posted by: JeffB | December 06, 2008 at 12:04 AM
If I were Robert Mugabe, I would be asking myself why I worked so hard to steal that last election, just so I could hold onto power over a nearly completely failed state. Maybe the rationality behind that move makes sense to maniacal despot, but to me it seems the height of senselessness.
Posted by: Dave C (the uppity newcomer) | December 06, 2008 at 12:58 AM
// Every time, I cannot imagine how Robert Mugabe could possibly stay in power when things are so bad.//
As I understand it, Mugabe is more or less a figurehead at the moment. The real power is his military backers. I'm guessing it is convenient for the military backers to have Mugabe take the heat for how screwed up the place is.
Posted by: d'd'd'docile dave | December 06, 2008 at 02:07 AM
Dave C, while I like what you wrote, you should understand something about humanity. It is pretty hard to impose a standard of rationality upon even reasonable people like Tony Blair. But to expect rationality from the likes of Mugabe is a pipe dream. To expect him to rub two brain cells together and make a thought is asking way too much. I'd say he's bat shit crazy, but that's giving him too much credit. There's simply no point in asking why he does what he does. He doesn't know either.
Posted by: fostert | December 06, 2008 at 02:13 AM
The army rioting is far from a sign of hope. They're, as usual, taking out their anger on the Zimbabwean people.
Posted by: Nell | December 06, 2008 at 07:11 PM
"The riots are, of course, horrible for the shopkeepers, forex traders, and other civilians who are harmed in them."
Wait a minute. With the level of danger and catastrophe you just described, you are telling us there are still forex traders in Zimbabwe?
Surely you've got to be kidding.
Posted by: Ralph | December 07, 2008 at 01:01 AM
Mugabe calls for early elections (CNN News) and Brown and west accused of using Cholera epidemic to undermine the government (China Daily) Oh Lord, have mercy! On behalf of other thinking children of ex-Zimbabwians in South Africa I offer my sadness, and my shame at my government's impotent and half-hearted attempts at mediation between Mugabe, Tsvangirai. My mother's heart bleeds for her people and her country. I ask for a prayer chain around the world to break the power that remains in Mugabe's government and topple the evil people who hide in his shadow. Watch and pray - and stand by to give aid and sustenance to those who survive.
Posted by: ZimChildsChild | December 07, 2008 at 08:51 AM
Just thinking about Zimbabwe makes me sad: Humanity still has a long way to go
Posted by: Atlantys | December 08, 2008 at 02:19 PM
this is such a sad thing. The u.s. needs to help them out.
forex forum discussion
Posted by: forex forum | March 14, 2009 at 02:18 PM