by hilzoy
I will try to liveblog this, even though I have no idea whether I'll be any good at it.
9:03: Where do they stand on recovery plans?
9:06: Obama: I think he looks good: collected, forceful. States principles; ties current problems to Republican philosophy.
9:07: Though on reflection, he didn't say where he stands on the specific packages; just principles.
9:08: McCain seems to me more rambling, but folksy. I don't like this, but some people seem to. And why was it McCain who mentioned Kennedy first?
9:10: McCain apparently commits to voting for the plan.
9:12: McCain talks about Eisenhower, and the need to hold people accountable. Obama agrees. But says: not just when there's a crisis.
9:14: Lehrer: are there fundamental differences about what McCain would do vs. what Obama would do to get us out of this crisis?
9:15: McCain: his answer goes on about earmarks and pork-barrel spending. I have no idea what this has to do with the present crisis.
9:17: Obama: earmarks are a pretty small part of domestic spending. McCain's tax cuts for the rich are much, much bigger. His own tax cuts, for the middle class, would do more for economic growth.
9:20: McCain goes on and on about Obama's earmarks, and the corruption of the system. Obama: eliminating earmarks alone will not get the economy back on track. It's a continuation of the past eight years.
9:21: McCain: Business taxes: too high. Now he's back on earmarks. Again.
9:22: Obama: I will cut taxes on everyone making $250,000. Business taxes: low on paper, but there are so many loopholes that it's actually lower. McCain doesn't want to eliminate these loopholes; just shovel more tax cuts to people.
9:24: McCain: Obama has voted for bills that have earmarks. Plus, he has voted to raise taxes on people making $42,000/year. Sigh.
9:26: New question: what will you have to give up because of financial rescue plan?
9:28: I'm going to stop summarizing for a moment. I think Obama is being basically clear; if he has a weakness, it's moving through too many points. It's as though he's reading a very crisp outline, very quickly.
McCain, by contrast, is rambling, but in an aggrieved sort of way.
9:30: McCain, unlike Obama, promises an actual cut: ethanol subsidies. Also, reforming defense spending. He's in his element there, although I have no idea how his use of defense spending jargon will go over with people.
9:34: McCain: a spending freeze on everything but veterans, defense, and -- darn, I missed it. Obama: no, some programs are underfunded. Somehow or other, McCain has gotten onto nuclear power. How is a mystery.
9:36: Out of nowhere, McCain says that Obama's plans will hand control of health care over to the federal government. (Huh?) Talks about cutting spending.
9:38: McCain has been consistently saying: look at our records. Obama: look, all this spending has occurred under a President you agreed with 90% of the time. You have voted for his budgets. McCain: people know me.
9:39: Question: what are the lessons of Iraq? McCain: the war was mishandled; now we are succeeding. Had we lost, the consequences would have been dire.
9:42: Obama: the question is whether we should have gone in there at all. I said no, for various reasons, including the fact that we had not finished the job in Afghanistan. Now, things are bad. We took our eye off the ball. Lesson: we should not hesitate to use military force to keep us safe, but we should use it wisely.
9:44: McCain: The surge has worked. And "incredibly -- incredibly -- ", Obama did not go to Iraq.
9:44: Obama: "John likes to pretend the war started in 2007." Cites McCain's mistakes. I think this was quite effective.
9:46: McCain: Obama doesn't know the difference between strategy and tactics. Also: he will not acknowledge the success of the surge.
9:47: McCain says Obama voted to cut funding for troops. Obama says: we both voted against funding bills that had things we disagreed with.
9:48: I think McCain came close to losing his temper.
9:50: New question: more troops to Afghanistan? Obama: yes.
9:51: Obama brings up Pakistan.
9:53: McCain says he will not repeat mistake of abandoning Afghanistan. (Me: I thought he did that. In 2003.)
9:56: Back and forth about what Obama said about Pakistan. Obama brings up various threats McCain has made.
9:57: Obama talks Pakistan. In my judgment, he's quite astute.
9:59: McCain says Obama doesn't understand Pakistan. Them for some reason, he goes over his entire history of war votes. He sounds earnest and sober. I have no idea what the point is.
Telling story of bracelet of dead soldier. She promised his mother her son's death would not be in vain.
10:01: Obama: President must make strategic judgments, and make them wisely. We took our eyes off the ball in Afghanistan. You have not consistently been concerned with Afghanistan.
10:02: I think Obama has gotten under McCain's skin.
10:04: Question: Iran?
McCain: Threat to Israel, to the region. "League of Democracies". It would help us to impose new sanctions. (How?)
10:06: Obama: The single thing that has strengthened Iran most recently is the war in Iraq. (Good.)
10:08: Obama says he doesn't think we can do sanctions without engaging countries who are not democracies. Also, we need negotiations.
10:09: McCain: Obama wants to negotiate with Ahmedinejad, whose name he has trouble with. This somehow legitimizes them, and even implies that they're doing the right thing.
10:10: Obama has a nice, sharp response. Brings up Kissinger's call for negotiations without preconditions. Explains what preconditions are. Pointed.
10:12: Obama brings up Spain. (*giggles*)
10:13: I am clearly, undeniably biassed. So I cannot assess how McCain's repeated "what Senator Obama doesn't understand" stuff would go over with an undecided voter.
10:15: Testy, testy...
10:17: New question: Russia. Obama: Russia's actions in Georgia are unacceptable. We should make that clear. But no return to the Cold War. We need to cooperate on e.g. loose nukes.
10:19: McCain harps on Obama's naivete again. Energy. Pipelines. Places "where I have spent significant amounts of time."
10:20: McCain really is a lot more coherent on foreign policy than on other topics. I really disagree with him, but he's pretty clear.
10:24: Obama brings it round to energy, and says that you have to "walk the walk, not just talk the talk" on alternative energy.
10:26: Question: what are the odds of another 9/11?
McCain: much less. 9/11 commission, and his role in creating it. (Bipartisan, reaching across the aisle...)
We have to have trained interrogators, so that we never torture a prisoner ever again.
Good for McCain.
10:28: Obama: we have done some things, but not enough on hardening chemical plants, on ports, etc.
Obama said we need missile defense. Ugh.
We need to focus on al Qaeda, not Iraq.
Also: how we are perceived matters for fight against terrorism. He wants to restore our image abroad. Gives McCain credit on torture.
10:31: Obama, who has (I think) been needling McCain, was just quite gracious. McCain responded with another 'Senator Obama doesn't get it.'
10:33: Obama: we are still too focussed on Iraq, and it was weakened us. Plus, it costs money we need elsewhere.
10:34: McCain, somewhat out of the blue, says that Obama lacks the experience and judgment he needs. "We have seen this stubbornness before, in this administration."
10:35: Obama: his father, who thought of America as a beacon when he was in Kenya. He wants to restore that.
10:37: McCain: when he came back from Vietnam, he worked to get POWs back. He knows how to heal the wounds of war.
McCain had a stronger close, I think.
***
I thought it was close. A lot, I think, will depend on how McCain struck people: to me, he was annoying and dismissive. Will it work? It didn't on me, but I'm not, um, normal.
Chris Matthews just made the same point, which makes me want to rethink it: "will his obvious contempt" turn voters off?
Signing off...
***
Actually, not quite signing off: on reflection, I think that the "story" out of this (and I haven't read around yet) is likely to be McCain's saying that Obama doesn't have the experience or the judgment to be President. I suspect that was a mistake, not just because it was (imho) over the line into incivility, but also because it just begs for commentary about McCain's having voted for the war in Iraq in the first place.
I also think that McCain's calling Obama inflexible was a mistake: I don't think Obama comes off that way, and it seemed like enough of a stretch that it might have undermined McCain's credibility more generally.
Obama, I thought, missed a few opportunities. The most important, I thought, was when McCain said he would never repeat the mistake of abandoning Afghanistan. The response "But John, you did: back in 2003, when you voted to take our focus away from Afghanistan in order to wage a war of choice against a country that had not attacked us" was just begging and pleading to be made. He was also, I thought, a bit tense.
As I said, close. But this was supposed to be McCain's strong debate, remember.
9:15- Earmarks! And the bear paternity joke! That McCain is a riot.
Posted by: | September 26, 2008 at 09:15 PM
Okay, so move this htere: So is the live-blogging the debate thread? Because I'm now waiting to see if Obama brings up Sarah Palin's requests for earmarks, now that McCain has denounced earmarks again.
And no, he went the higher road by explaining how relatively insignificant earmarks are.
Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 09:18 PM
Should McCain really bring up "Miss Congeniality"?
Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 09:19 PM
McCain's jokes aren't sounding too hot in a silent auditorium.
"My friends": drink!
Posted by: Jacob Davies | September 26, 2008 at 09:22 PM
Am I crazy, or is Barry kinda beating him up on points here?
Posted by: Pooh | September 26, 2008 at 09:23 PM
EARMARKS!!! THE SCOURGE OF HUMANITY!!*
*after Liberalism.
/mccain
Posted by: rob! | September 26, 2008 at 09:24 PM
McCain is being aggressive, I think. Obama should be more so.
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | September 26, 2008 at 09:31 PM
Should go after McCain on lobbyists in his campaign.
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | September 26, 2008 at 09:32 PM
I think Obama scores on the tax cuts vs. health care issue.
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | September 26, 2008 at 09:37 PM
I think McCain's other exemption @9:34 was entitlements.
Posted by: Mike | September 26, 2008 at 09:37 PM
Can someone PLEASE just say "Keating Five" when McCain is talking about being against corruption?
Posted by: Pooh | September 26, 2008 at 09:39 PM
9:36 Both Obama and McCain totally dodged the question of what they'd cut, instead both launching into discussions of what they want to do. I guess they're getting into it now, somewhat, but of course neither of them wants to say anything very specific. Can't really blame them since nobody knows what next year's budget will look like or what this bailout will actually cost anyway.
McCain says he wants a spending freeze on everything but defense, veteran's affairs, and something I didn't catch. Also calls for 40 new nuclear power plants.
McCain also says we have to go through the government agencies and find the ones that aren't working well and "eliminate them". Eliminate? Not fix? Uh, what if they actually served some useful purpose?
Miss Congeniality joke for the second time.
6:39 Maverick x2 in one sentence: CHUG.
Obama said "orgy" a few minutes earlier though. Edgy!
Posted by: Jacob Davies | September 26, 2008 at 09:40 PM
I wish one of them at least acted like they knew what to do about the bailout. Their talking points haven't caught up with reality yet.
Posted by: Justin Slotman | September 26, 2008 at 09:42 PM
In reference to performance, Jim Leher is doing a decent job, at least to my ethanol muddled brain.
Posted by: malraux | September 26, 2008 at 09:43 PM
Obama says McCain is right too often, I think. Congeniality is one thing, but you don't want to give the impression that you mostly agree with him.
Posted by: Jacob Davies | September 26, 2008 at 09:46 PM
"I think Obama is being basically clear; if he has a weakness, it's moving through too many points."
I think it took Obama roughly 30 minutes to gain his footing.
Just when I was wondering when he was going to mention President Bush, he did for the first time -- around the 30-minute mark.
Soon after, he used his first memorable phrase -- the only memorable phrase of the debate so far -- when he brought up Bush's name again and said that McCain has supported the president's "orgy of spending."
Got my attention.
So did McCain -- out of left field -- when he proposed a "spending freeze," after both candidates were pressed numerous times about the inevitable effects of the $700 million Wall Street bailout.
Classic McCain, who clearly likes the Hail Mary pass.
This idea of a "spending freeze" (with exceptions Hilzoy noted) is extreme and probably unworkable, although if I relied on government spending for various things that a McCain Administration would consider non-essential, I would be worried.
However, I'd give McCain points for at least conceding the point that neither candidate will be able to fulfill their pie-in-the-sky campaign promises. Obama repeatedly dodged Lehrer's question.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 09:47 PM
"McCain, by contrast, is rambling, but in an aggrieved sort of way."
Hilzoy, neither of us are McCain fans. But I would suggest that some viewers would look at McCain's anger as feistiness and spirit.
Of course, he's no Mr. Congeniality.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 09:50 PM
Is it just me, or is McCain's check bulging like a xenomorph is gonna pop out.
Posted by: malraux | September 26, 2008 at 09:53 PM
Props to Hilzoy.
Just adding a comment here and there is tough enough, much less liveblogging, while trying to adequately digesting the whole debate.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 09:53 PM
If you don't say it out loud (re: strikes in Pakistan) HOW BOUT WAR WITH RUSSIA?????
Posted by: Pooh | September 26, 2008 at 09:54 PM
First mistake by Lehrer.
The back-and-forth on Iraq was lively and he should have kept it going. Both scored points.
To borrow from Hilzoy:
Obama: "John likes to pretend the war started in 2007."
McCain: Obama doesn't know the difference between strategy and tactics. Also: he will not acknowledge the success of the surge.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 09:56 PM
Is Obama trying to needle McCain a little bit, to maybe induce a blowup here?
Posted by: Pooh | September 26, 2008 at 09:56 PM
I give Obama credit for trying but he just butchered McCain's "Ba-ba-bomb Iraq," mentioning if McCain wants "to sing songs about Iraq, that's OK."
Many viewers aren't going to know what the hell he was talking about. Should have referenced the Beach Boys and quoted the whole damn line.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 09:59 PM
WTF? What does McCain as 33-year old midshipment have to do with respecting Reagan? He respected Reagan then? Reagan wasn't even in the movies yet!
And the litany of wars he has supported.... were there any he didn't support?
Posted by: CaseyL | September 26, 2008 at 09:59 PM
McCain talking about the dangers of cross-border strikes into Pakistan. Er, aren't we already doing that?
McCain says Obama is irresponsible for saying he would attack Pakistan. Obama says hey! Nobody is talking about attacking Pakistan! Plus, you sang a song about attacking Iran, so, WTF.
Posted by: Jacob Davies | September 26, 2008 at 10:01 PM
Anecdotes about mothers are touching, but Presidents are supposed to be thinking strategically, not validating Gold Star mothers' feelings.
Posted by: CaseyL | September 26, 2008 at 10:02 PM
Man has this campaign ever sharpened Obama.
Posted by: david kilmer | September 26, 2008 at 10:02 PM
Pooh: I think that's what he was doing with the "sing songs about Iraq" -- although McCain is making a pretty good retort right now, talking about a mother of a marine he talked to.
Obama finally brought up "making good judgments."
This is where he can trump McCain -- not questioning the man's valor or singing ability.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:02 PM
McCain, fer Chrissake, the two wars are connected because of US incompetence! We can't keep fighting both!
Jesus.
Posted by: CaseyL | September 26, 2008 at 10:03 PM
Man has this campaign ever sharpened Obama.
I have to agree. He's been a lot sharper than he was in the primaries. He's been really good at responding to McCain's bogus charges.
Posted by: Incertus | September 26, 2008 at 10:04 PM
Pooh: "Can someone PLEASE just say "Keating Five" when McCain is talking about being against corruption?"
To Bernard's point about Obama not being agressive enough -- this would indeed be something to bring up (if economics comes up again).
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:05 PM
Oh, goodie. McCain wants to form his own UN because he hates Russia and Iran.
Posted by: CaseyL | September 26, 2008 at 10:06 PM
Pooh: I think that's what he was doing with the "sing songs about Iraq" -- although McCain is making a pretty good retort right now, talking about a mother of a marine he talked to.
Yeah, it seemed like he ALMOST got him, but McCain was able to reign himself in before going off.
Posted by: Pooh | September 26, 2008 at 10:07 PM
"Is it just me, or is McCain's check bulging like a xenomorph is gonna pop out."
I'm sure Michelle Malkin is blogging even now about the illegal aliens living illegally in McCain's illegal cheeks, where he houses illegal aliens. Illegally.
Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 10:08 PM
One thing about Obama that's freaking me out is his ability to explain his Senate votes in a concise and effective way.
If only this guy had been around in 2004...
Posted by: david kilmer | September 26, 2008 at 10:08 PM
Jacob: "Miss Congeniality joke for the second time.
"6:39 Maverick x2 in one sentence: CHUG."
McCain does make for one helluva drinking game, my friend.
How I miss college.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:09 PM
yes, because what Ahmadenijad lacks is a platform...
Posted by: Pooh | September 26, 2008 at 10:09 PM
Retarding comment by McCain on not dealing with dictatorships until they change, and then citing Nixon and China. Right Johnny, because the 1960s was an unbroken litany of human rights advances on the Chinese mainland.
Posted by: byrningman | September 26, 2008 at 10:11 PM
I like that Obama is popping him with Kissinger on the "no preconditions" bit.
Posted by: Incertus | September 26, 2008 at 10:11 PM
This is fun, but I better get upstairs with the wife.
She is enjoy the CNN broadcast on hi-def --anaylsts point-scoring the debate on the left and right of the TV screen, a focus group doing the same underneath it.
I found it distracting.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:12 PM
I hope McCain can be baited into irritability. McCain has a problem with sounding whiny when he gets pissed off.
McCain also seems to have a problem with having a smug smile while Obama is discussing life-and-death issues.
Posted by: Jacob Davies | September 26, 2008 at 10:12 PM
Spain!
Spain!
Spain!
Posted by: byrningman | September 26, 2008 at 10:13 PM
F'in preconditions
Preconditions!Preconditions!Preconditions!Preconditions!Preconditions!Preconditions!Preconditions!
Posted by: MobiusKlein | September 26, 2008 at 10:14 PM
"McCain also seems to have a problem with having a smug smile"
It's officially known as the "creepy smile".
Posted by: david kilmer | September 26, 2008 at 10:15 PM
McCain: "I don't even have a (presidential) seal yet."
Good dig at Obama.
But, again, like the Beach Boys line, this is inside-baseball stuff.
It does show that McCain is fighting back -- and I think he finds Obama contemptable.
His "Oh, please" just now was a pretty good putdown of Obama, who looked baffled.
"I am not parsing words," a frustrated Obama shot back.
Looks like McCain won't have the Senior Moment that Chris Matthews was begging him to have in the pre-game.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:16 PM
REAGAN! REAGAN! PRECONDITIONS!
I think the right will call Obama arrogant tomorrow, for repeatedly saying "When I am President" while McCain is saying things like "I'm not presuming to set the White House guest list" and "I haven't even got a seal yet". Completely idiotic, but I'll bet it's one of the major talking points in the wash-up.
Posted by: QuietStorm | September 26, 2008 at 10:17 PM
McCain is going to get his head handed to him on the Kissinger bit.
Posted by: Incertus | September 26, 2008 at 10:17 PM
I think McCain just looked like an a** on the subject of talks. Maybe not - I'm not unbiased, but the smug laugh is really annoying.
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | September 26, 2008 at 10:18 PM
McCain: "I looked into Mr. Putin's eyes and I saw three letters: K - G - B."
Great, great line.
And it separates himself from Mr. Bush.
For those of us hoping Obama would knock out the 72-year-old candidate tonight, it ain't happening.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:20 PM
McCain sure sounds like he's threatening war with Russia to me.
Posted by: Incertus | September 26, 2008 at 10:21 PM
i know i'm biased, but McCain sounds pissy, annoyed, and mean. Obama sounds calmer, more statesman-like.
Posted by: rob! | September 26, 2008 at 10:23 PM
Very nice pivot on the energy issue by Obama there.
Posted by: Pooh | September 26, 2008 at 10:24 PM
Jacob: The drinking game has had one major letdown -- we're almost finished and not single POW reference.
Sobriety scores a point.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:24 PM
I think the talks are a losing topic for McCain. He's not justifying WHY he wouldn't sit down and talk with them, so his repeating of the accusation as if it's innately insane sounds like a weird obsession. To me.
McCain keeps giggling and laughing at things Obama is saying. I have no idea how that plays with someone who doesn't despise him, but I sure don't think it looks good for him.
McCain keeps talking over Obama in that unstoppable-grandpa way. I'm not sure Obama can do anything about it.
Posted by: Jacob Davies | September 26, 2008 at 10:25 PM
"Obama sounds calmer . . ."
Sometimes too calm, allowing McCain to sneak in too many falsehoods.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:26 PM
Jacob: Our first Joe Lieberman reference.
Drink up!
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:27 PM
I like how working with Lieberman somehow counts as bipartisan...
Posted by: Pooh | September 26, 2008 at 10:27 PM
Obama should have insisted on correcting McCain's comments on nuclear waste.
Mistake. He's giving McCain too much time.
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | September 26, 2008 at 10:27 PM
Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 10:29 PM
For those of us hoping Obama would knock out the 72-year-old candidate tonight, it ain't happening.
Actually, the knockout onus is on McCain. Obama just has to not make a hash of things, and the news for the next few days is going to be about the bailout anyway.
Posted by: byrningman | September 26, 2008 at 10:30 PM
"I like how working with Lieberman somehow counts as bipartisan . . ."
For me, there is just way too much man-love between Lieberman and McCain.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:30 PM
He has, Gary, and more than once. Won't stop the right-wing from calling Obama presumptuous though.
Posted by: Incertus | September 26, 2008 at 10:31 PM
Oh.my.god. SDI ended the Cold War. McCain is just relentless with BS.
Posted by: byrningman | September 26, 2008 at 10:31 PM
"We seem to have come full circle again . . ."
McCain -- who I thought was a bland debater in the primaries -- is actually managing to close out this debate with a closing summary in response to a question.
Sharp.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:32 PM
I'm not sure, but Colin Powell may have used it first.
The first hundred times, maybe; he'sPosted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 10:32 PM
"Specifc dates for withdrawal" crap a minus for McCain. IMO: harping . in effect, on yesterday's issue.
Not snart
Posted by: Jay C | September 26, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Star Wars ended the Cold War? Perhaps I have judged The Phantom Menace too harshly.
Posted by: rob! | September 26, 2008 at 10:33 PM
"and the news for the next few days is going to be about the bailout anyway"
Yeah, these two could have come to blows tonight or even kissed and the Bailout is still Topic A.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:33 PM
"The first hundred times, maybe; he's been using it for years."
Must confess: I had never heard him use it -- and if I haven't, I'd bet a few million watching haven't, either.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:35 PM
Oops - McCain's close is a sneer ("Obama's experience")
& "Love the veterans" ? WTF??
Posted by: Jay C | September 26, 2008 at 10:35 PM
McCain loves the veteran -- "I love them. And that's going to be my job" -- and we should all tear up now.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:36 PM
POWPOWPOWPOWPOWPOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: Pooh | September 26, 2008 at 10:37 PM
McCain: Obama is showing poor judgment by refusing to acknowledge that he made a bad decision in supporting the surge.
And the decision to support the invasion of Iraq, Brute?
Posted by: Ian | September 26, 2008 at 10:37 PM
Oops.
Thank God -- he got a "POW" in.
Finally.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:37 PM
"Star Wars ended the Cold War? Perhaps I have judged The Phantom Menace too harshly."
It's all because of the Soviet Union employing Jar Jar Binks.
Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 10:37 PM
Waited until the end, but he got in the POW! Knew it had to happen.
Posted by: Incertus | September 26, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Good debate.
These guys DO NOT like each other.
"Contempt" comes to mind.
Not sure if the event would have changed an Independent's mind, however; so I'd count it as a win for Obama.
Posted by: bedtimeforbonzo | September 26, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Okay, so I had to be away from the tv for half an hour, so I'm watching the rerun of the debate on my local PBS station, and am only up to the first 39 minutes so far.
And he just said that the lesson of Iraq was don't have a bad strategy that will cause you to fail unless you change it?
Uh, righhhhttt.
Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 10:41 PM
Star Wars ended the Cold War?
We had TIE fighters buzzing around the planet ready to shoot down pesky ICBMs!
I think this was a slight win for Obama, just by calling out some of McCain's crap, especially the "talks w/o preconditions." McCain just kinda kept going a lot, and Lehrer had a hell of a time getting him to stop. Whoever mentioned McCain's talking was an un-interruptable grandpa style was right.
(Darn you Gary! Your joke is much funnier than mine.)
Posted by: MeDrewNotYou | September 26, 2008 at 10:43 PM
I didn't watch it, but is it true that Obama refused to credit the surge as a success? If so, good. If not--well, I don't have high hopes for serious discussions in a Presidential debate anyway.
Posted by: Donald Johnson | September 26, 2008 at 10:43 PM
Gary- And he just said that the lesson of Iraq was don't have a bad strategy that will cause you to fail unless you change it?
I have a tablecloth in the washer from my friend and I spitting a screwdriver out at that moment.
Posted by: MeDrewNotYou | September 26, 2008 at 10:45 PM
From the Caucus blog on NYT:
"Mr. McCain says: “It’s an existential threat to Israel.” They’ve used this phrase before, meaning that it is a threat to Israel’s existence. But they ought to explain it, otherwise it sounds to voters like we’re trying to protect Jean Paul Sartre."
Posted by: david kilmer | September 26, 2008 at 10:48 PM
Probably a draw, though I'm a bit disappointed. I hope that's just because I thought Obama would score a KO and he didn't.
I do think he should have been more aggressive, both in his direct answers and in responding to McCain's claims.
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | September 26, 2008 at 10:48 PM
I didn't watch it, but is it true that Obama refused to credit the surge as a success? If so, good.
It's more like he popped McCain in the mouth over the fact that we shouldn't be in the war in the first place.
Posted by: Incertus | September 26, 2008 at 10:52 PM
My discounted market-adjusted ($0.02) opinion: a draw. Both men proved equally adept at spouting cliches, platitudes and talking-points. Both men proved equally adept at "managing" a set-piece debate. My opinion of the candidates - and their chances - : unchanged.
Back to Square One. (I.e., President Obama in jan.)
Posted by: Jay C | September 26, 2008 at 10:53 PM
Here is a quick and dirty transcript that's still in progress that everyone can use to find versions of what they remember.
Points that amazed me: McCain answers that the way he'll lead us out of the financial crisis is fighting earmarks:
Hooboy. That's the solution to the financial crisis?Then my previous point:
Hoo-doggie.Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 10:57 PM
Biden had a small bit on NBC. Then they moved to Guliani. Did any of the networks talk to Palin?
Posted by: malraux | September 26, 2008 at 10:57 PM
In the closing it's really clear that the only issue here is Iraq and whether the initial decision to invade was a good one. McCain kept bringing it back to the surge to avoid discussing that, and Obama kept bringing it back to the initial decision to invade to avoid discussing the surge. I don't blame either of them for their desire to avoid those two areas. But to me (unsurprisingly) the decision whether to invade was by far the more important one, and that's one where their opinions differ greatly, although McCain doesn't want to broadcast that too loudly.
I do think the surge is an area of vulnerability for Obama. Americans like to win, and they're also pragmatists who want to make the best of a bad job. Not sure Obama made enough mention of the gigantic cost of staying in Iraq, though.
There was, finally, a P.O.W. reference at the end but it was so fast that I think most people would've missed it. Plus, I had drunk my solitary beer by then. I'm too old for drinking games really.
Overall I think the whole thing was remarkably cogent, mature, and rational with surprisingly little recourse to talking points or mockery. I don't like McCain one little bit, but this was the part of him that I think those who have admired him in the past have seen. This is his home turf.
But I think that mature tone also left the viewer without a knockout winner on some gotcha point. So the independent voter waiting for that gotcha moment will be disappointed and actually have to make a decision based on which policies they like better. A tragedy!
Good to see Obama getting a lot of prime-time exposure. For all the exposure in the primaries, I think people need to see more of Obama on TV just to get used to this idea that a 40-something black man could be qualified to be President. I think a lot of basically decent people have trouble believing that because they don't have very much personal experience with African-Americans and have a view shaped by the media portrayal of black men. It kind of pains me to say that, but there we go. So seeing him up there, sharp as hell - though McCain was sharp too - knowledgeable, confident in his judgement, I thought that was a good thing. And they may mock him for "When I'm President" but that's the idea that needs to be accepted: he can be President. In fact, if the polls today stayed the way they are, he will be President. So I think, better to get that idea accepted by people than to say "if I'm President" and risk sounding like you don't think you can do it.
Rudy G. just got on whatever station I'm watching and said "Well I thought McCain won this debate hugely" which, dude, come on. Won? Nobody "won" that debate, it wasn't about winning. For once, it was about informing people about what the two candidates really want and where they differ. Imagine that. So it was a little sad to go right back to the bullshit politics of instantly declaring your candidate a "winner" and repeating it until we all just give up protesting.
Posted by: Jacob Davies | September 26, 2008 at 10:58 PM
Biden had a small bit on NBC. Then they moved to Guliani. Did any of the networks talk to Palin?
AFAIK, Palin flat-out refused...
Posted by: Anarch | September 26, 2008 at 11:01 PM
"I think a lot of basically decent people have trouble believing that because they don't have very much personal experience with African-Americans and have a view shaped by the media portrayal of black men."
The bad news.
Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 11:02 PM
McCain said "...so we never have to torture prisoners again."
Tacitly admitting we torture prisoners. Curious.
Posted by: Andrew | September 26, 2008 at 11:03 PM
"So it was a little sad to go right back to the bullshit politics of instantly declaring your candidate a 'winner' and repeating it until we all just give up protesting."
This is where the word "spin" gained its political meaning from.
Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 11:04 PM
Only saw the last 45mins, but McCain was much more steady in the Foreign Policy section. Obama was pretty good, but he was a wee bit forced. IMO.
McCain lied a lot.
Biden's follow-up on MSNBC was weeeeaaak.
JV-VP Little Rudy G was much more fun to listen to.
Sarahcudda was apparently busy with some Adderall and the last five years of Newsweek.
Posted by: cleek | September 26, 2008 at 11:04 PM
It would be interesting if someone did the positive/negative statement analysis on the transcript. It seemed to me that McCain spent a lot of time on stone-throwing and not as much on describing his solutions.
McCain also seemed to go out of his way to highlight how old he is. I didn't expect so many, "Back in the day, I went to that country" stories.
Posted by: david kilmer | September 26, 2008 at 11:07 PM
Gary - the good news is that it isn't going to be close.
Posted by: david kilmer | September 26, 2008 at 11:09 PM
"Gary - the good news is that it isn't going to be close."
I've seen too many predictions fail in too many elections to buy into any any more.
Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 11:11 PM
Obama praised McCain for saying that he opposed torture. Andrew Sullivan says that it was a "graceful" move on Obama's part. But Obama did not say that McCain voted for torture in the Military Commissions Act of 2006. Obama, in fact, except one time, did not convey what a liar and slimeball McCain is. The one time was when McCain accused Obama of voting against funding for the troops, and Obama replied that McCain had also voted against funding for the troops; Obama had voted against the funding bill with no timetable and McCain had voted against the funding bill with a timetable. But Obama made no general statement about McCain's dishonesty.
Posted by: Henry | September 26, 2008 at 11:15 PM
I wish Obama would stop saying "When I'm President" so much, I don't think it will play well, it sounds cocky.
WTF with McCain's League of Democracies??? Every time he said that I got a mental picture of the Justice League and giggled. But seriously would that replace the UN, how would that even work, just bizarre.
The spending freeze was so left field too. It may play well to people who have no knowledge of the federal budget process so maybe he'll get away with that one. But I used to work in the civil service and when he said that I was baffled.
But overall I though McCain did well, I was hoping he would lose his temper or have a senior moment. Oh well. Obama was okay but I thought McCain was stronger.
Posted by: tfan | September 26, 2008 at 11:15 PM
I understand that EVERYBODY here hates the Rethuglicans, but look, this was a debate on foreign policy. McCain has had a lot more experience in foreign policy, and that can be debated whether it is good or bad. Obama's experience is mostly in Chicago Public Schools via IL state senate and Chicago Annenberg Challenge, and his effectiveness can be judged on that.
Posted by: DaveC | September 26, 2008 at 11:22 PM
Here is another partial transcript.
For Donald's sake, and anyone else, here's what's relevant to the "surge" (in two parts, due to Typepad's new length limit on comments with links):
[continued in pt. II]Posted by: Gary Farber | September 26, 2008 at 11:22 PM