by hilzoy
Item 1, from Jared Bernstein:
"When it comes to taxes, Obama has drawn a firm line in the sand at $250,000. He cuts taxes for the vast majority of families -- more than 95% -- and raises taxes only on those with incomes above $250,000. Whether its income taxes, payroll taxes, capital gains, or stock dividends, his plan does not raise taxes on anyone below $250,000. He articulated this point today: "...if you're a family making less than $250,000, my plan will not raise your taxes -- not your income taxes, not your payroll taxes, not your capital gains taxes, not any of your taxes."Yet, from McCain's speech today: "If you believe you should pay more taxes, I am the wrong candidate for you. Senator Obama is your man. The choice in this election is stark and simple. Senator Obama will raise your taxes.""
Here's McCain's speech. Read it for yourselves: it says exactly what Bernstein says it does. Here's a quick summary of McCain's and Obama's tax proposals, and here (pdf) is the longer Tax Policy Center Report. See for yourselves: Obama does not propose to raise taxes on people making under $250,000 a year.
So unless McCain was addressing an audience made up entirely of people who make over $250,000 a year in his Denver Town Meeting, he was lying.
More lies below the fold.
(2) Jay Newton-Small at Swampland:
"This morning at a Christian Science Monitor breakfast Carly Fiorina made the case that Obama’s proposed tax hike on those who make more than $250,000 a year would be damaging to small businesses.
“In the Bush tax cuts, if they are repealed, 23 million small businesses will have their taxes raised. Why? Because 23 million small businesses file their income tax as individuals. And so, when Barack Obama blithely says, only the wealthiest are going to be taxed, he is ignoring the fact that 23 million small businesses file as individuals and those small businesses are the only growing sector of the economy right now and small businesses produce 60%, actually it’s more like 70, 70% of the new jobs in this country.”Okay, let’s assume there are now 23 million small businesses in the U.S. today (the latest stats I could find were 21.5 million "schedule C" class businesses in 2005). There’s no way that all 23 million of those are netting more than $250,000. In fact, 94.5% of all “flow-through” entities (self-employed folks, which generally tend to be small businesses, though Tiger Woods also falls into this category) had receipts under $100,000 in 2007. (...)
Even with the sub-chapter S filers added in the total number of small businesses effected by a tax hike on those who net more than $250,000 a year remains a few hundred thousand – no where near the 23 million Fiorina claimed."
It is not a lie to say that "In the Bush tax cuts, if they are repealed, 23 million small businesses will have their taxes raised." But it is deeply misleading to suggest that this has anything to do with Barack Obama. He proposes to let the Bush tax cuts expire only for people making $250,000 or more, or to say that " when Barack Obama blithely says, only the wealthiest are going to be taxed, he is ignoring the fact that 23 million small businesses file as individuals". He is not ignoring that. He's only proposing to raise taxes on those people if they make over $250,00 a year -- which is to say, if they're in the top 5%.
Of course, this isn't the first time Fiorina has lied about Obama's tax plans. (Click this one: it's about as brazen as lies get.)
(3) MSNBC's First Read:
"Flat-taxer Steve Forbes went after Obama on taxes, claiming Obama’s tax proposals would “devastate” the American economy. He said that even though Obama now says he will cut taxes for the low-income to middle-class voters, Forbes and McCain economic adviser Douglas Holtz-Eakin claimed Obama voted for increasing taxes on those making as little as $32,000 a year.This gets to Obama’s “credibility,” Forbes said on a conference call with reporters, and cited it as an example of the Illinois senator “saying one thing and doing another.”
The McCain campaign also sent out a memo, reinforcing the point. "This year, Barack Obama returned to the United States Senate twice to vote in favor of a budget resolution which raises income tax rates by three percentage points for the 25, 28 and 33 percent tax brackets," Holtz-Eakin writes in the memo. "This would mean a tax increase for those earning as little as $32,000. While Barack Obama campaigns on a promise of no tax hikes for anyone but the rich, we once again find that his words are empty when it comes time to act. In both March and June, Barack Obama could have put the force of his vote behind his words. Instead, he decided that 'rich' now means those making just $32,000 per year."But NBC’s Ken Strickland spoke with a Democratic aide at the Senate Budget Committee who said there was never a budget vote that said: Let's raise taxes. What the budget vote did do was estimate how much additional revenue would be needed, and then it would go to the Finance Committee to determine how to raise that amount (raise taxes, close loopholes, etc)."
A budget resolution is not a law. It does not get signed by the President. It sets targets for the various committees to work with in coming up with budgets and actual appropriations. Taxes are raised, or not, once that process is complete. In voting for it, Obama was not voting for a tax increase, nor, in skipping that vote, was McCain calling into question his commitment to not raising taxes.
What that bill did was assume that some of the Bush tax cuts will expire on schedule. That's a provisional assumption, without any force. It also cuts taxes (pdf) on the middle class, and claims to balance the budget in 2012 and 2013. In voting for a resolution without binding force, Obama was not voting to balance the budget or to enact middle class tax cuts. If he says he was, he will be lying, just as he would be lying if he said that McCain didn't care enough about not raising taxes to make it back for this vote, and just as Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Steven Forbes are lying when they call this a vote for a tax cut.
[UPDATE: It seems I was being too generous to Holtz-Eakin and Forbes. tgirsch explains; it's worth reading. END UPDATE]
***
These are completely deceptive statements. They are trying to obscure a very basic point: if you make under $250,000 a year, Obama will not raise your taxes. Moreover, if you're in the bottom 80% of households, you'll pay less in taxes (pdf) under Obama's plan than you will under McCain's. If I were John McCain, I'd want to obscure that too.
But I hope I wouldn't lie about it.
Hilzoy:
Regarding the MSNBC story, as I blogged here, even if one takes Obama's support for the budget resolution as support for an increase of the 25% bracket, the McCain camp's $32,000 figure is, to be generous, deeply misleading. I don't think it's unfair to say that in using that figure, McCain's camp either doesn't understand our marginal income tax rates, or (more likely in my opinion) is cynically counting on the American people not to understand how it works.
As I blogged there, if you're a "worst-case" taxpayer, a single person taking only the standard deduction and personal exemption, with no tax credits, no pre-tax benefits like health insurance, 401(k) contributions, IRA contributions, etc., you'd have to make $42,000 per year before an increase of the 25% bracket to 28% would impact you, and then it would impact you to the tune of a whopping $15 per year.
Posted by: tgirsch | July 08, 2008 at 12:28 AM
tgirsch: good catch. I've updated, with a link. Thanks.
Posted by: hilzoy | July 08, 2008 at 12:47 AM
To be fair, it's a Republican political audience. What are the odds that anyone in there wasn't above the 95th percentile in income?
Posted by: Anthony Damiani | July 08, 2008 at 01:48 AM
one things McCain's new team surely knows is that it's OK to lie and lie and lie and lie because the press doesn't care all that much, and is afraid to speak ill of a Republican anyway.
it's gonna be 2000 all over again.
Posted by: cleek | July 08, 2008 at 07:01 AM
"When it comes to taxes, Obama has drawn a firm line in the sand at $250,000. He cuts taxes for the vast majority of families -- more than 95% -- and raises taxes only on those with incomes above $250,000. Whether its income taxes, payroll taxes, capital gains, or stock dividends, his plan does not raise taxes on anyone below $250,000.
I don’t think this is quite so solid, at least in terms of payroll taxes. Obama has been a bit tough to pin down on that.
His official site, as of this morning:
Obama believes that the first place to look for ways to strengthen Social Security is the payroll tax system. Currently, the Social Security payroll tax applies to only the first $102,000 a worker makes. Obama supports increasing the maximum amount of earnings covered by Social Security and he will work with Congress and the American people to choose a payroll tax reform package that will keep Social Security solvent for at least the next half century.
In other speeches and debates he has mentioned the donut hole, but only in terms of he’d consider it, or “potentially exempting those who are in between” ($102k to $250k).
The best idea is to lift the cap on the payroll tax, potentially exempting middle-class folks, but making sure that the wealthy are paying more of their fair share, a little bit more.
But then:
In terms of raising the cap on the payroll tax, right now everybody who's making $102,000 or less pays 100% of payroll tax on 100% of their income. There are about 3% to 4% of Americans who are above $102,000 in income every year. So if you want to talk about who's middle class, me giving cuts to folks making $60,000 or $70,000, and potentially asking more from friends of mine like Warren Buffett. That's a debate I'm happy to have with John McCain, because it's the people making $75,000, $50,000, $60,000 who are hurting.
Here he seems to clearly define “the wealthy” as those making over $102k. If he has actually committed solidly to the “donut hole” I haven’t seen it, and it’s certainly not reflected in his official issues documents.
Of course if he does firmly commit to the donut hole then we’ll be discussing how that changes the fundamental nature of the system – changing it from a safety net to a wealth transfer system.
Posted by: OCSteve | July 08, 2008 at 08:21 AM
"Here he seems to clearly define 'the wealthy' as those making over $102k."
Cite:
So that's factually correct.More. In 2006, the cut-off for being in the 4th percentile of income, the highest 1/4, in the United States, was $97,032. Those are the richest quarter of the population: those whose income is above that.
So what's your point? With a cite to fact, please, rather than to someone's feelings.
Thanks!
Posted by: Gary Farber | July 08, 2008 at 08:30 AM
"When it comes to taxes, Obama has drawn a firm line in the sand at $250,000. He cuts taxes for the vast majority of families -- more than 95% -- and raises taxes only on those with incomes above $250,000. Whether its income taxes, payroll taxes, capital gains, or stock dividends, his plan does not raise taxes on anyone below $250,000.
As OCSteve points out, Obama has not said this; indeed, regarding the payroll tax, Obama has (at times) said the opposite.
As for McCain's speech: I think you make a solid case that McCain has misrepresented at least some of Obama's current proposals.
I thought that Obama intended to
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 09:17 AM
Gary, I think you meant "quartile" rather than "percentile", but the table shows that number as the top of the range for the fourth fifth. That is, it's the bottom of the fifth quintile (the top 20%).
Posted by: KCinDC | July 08, 2008 at 09:24 AM
Two points:
1. Remember that income taxes are paid on taxable income, not gross income. An income tax increase on incomes above $250K is more like one on incomes above $300K. Not true of a payroll tax, of course.
2. Does McCain really want Fiorina as a spokewoman on business and economic matters? During her tenure at Hewlett-Packard the stock lost half its value, and she walked away with a $21 million payout. What next? "Brownie" giving McCain advice on disaster response?
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | July 08, 2008 at 10:13 AM
tgirsch: "is cynically counting on the American people not to understand how it works."
Cynical, yes, but tried and true. These concepts are not difficult to understand and the tax code for most folks making below $100,000, say, is not that complicated. As a group, however, the American people are willfully stupid.
"a whopping $15 per year."
Redstate operatives know for whom the $15 whops. Them. They shall be disincentivized from working and resign their jobs come November if Obama is elected and go to full-time blogging, which will be a drag on the economy .... and a drag.
Bernard:
Fiorini is practicing perverted noblesse oblige. Fail in the private sector, make lots of money, and enter public service to lay waste there too.
Posted by: John Thullen | July 08, 2008 at 11:12 AM
Carli Fiorna was the head of Hewlett Packard from 1999 to 2005. She was trumpeted as the first mainstream female CEO. The press loved her. You can’t fake it as CEO in the free market though; she was a disaster:
1999 HP Quote: $60
2005 HP Quote: $20
Carli was forced out of the company and HP has subsequently recovered.
So why would McCain would pick Carli Fiorna to be his spokesperson?
Because American politics has nothing to do with substance any more. At a time where leadership is needed to electrify our rail systems, kick the political-change-through-environmentalism environmentalists in the teeth, and build nuclear power plants, we get Carli. Carli has a low body mass index, can articulate words fairly well, is not overly disfigured, and is a woman. Welcome aboard!
There will come a time for leadership in America. We’re not there yet.
I’ll go out on a limb and predict that there will be fundamental political change in America at $8/gallon gas, or after the Fed drops the dollar below $2000/gold ounce. It will not be a decision made by our leaders. It will be change that is imposed upon us.
Cheers.
Posted by: Brick Oven Bill | July 08, 2008 at 11:13 AM
I very much doubt that Senator McCain has looked into this himself.
Given how little he trusts economists, I wonder who's doing his math for him?
Posted by: Ken | July 08, 2008 at 11:54 AM
Fiorini "is not overly disfigured."
I imagine this gem pronounced directly into the camera, with poisonous and evident distaste, as Olivier had his Richard III speak directly into the lens, his hump itching, as he confided his schemes to the viewer.
True, Fiorini is a woman. Her mistake was aspiring to be an incompetent, ruthless bastard like most men, though with a lower body mass index.
I have a feeling, BOB, that you believe Fiorini's rise to the top was an example of misplaced nurturing.
She'd rip your throat out with her manhands if she had the chance.
It's what men understand in the workplace.
Posted by: John Thullen | July 08, 2008 at 12:08 PM
I don't know if he distrusts economists. But as Von helpfully pointed out in a previous thread, there are at least 300 economists that trust him to a fault.
Posted by: Davebo | July 08, 2008 at 12:30 PM
As OCSteve points out, Obama has not said this; indeed, regarding the payroll tax, Obama has (at times) said the opposite.
He has, at times, not mentioned the policy specifics such as the 'donut hole' (via OCSteve's cite), but has he actually said the opposite? OC's cite doesn't say that he will include everyone above 102k, just that he will "increas[e] the maximum amount of earnings covered by Social Security" in an unspecified manner.
It's not a flip-flop every time someone fails to give every detail of their policy proposals.
Posted by: Carleton Wu | July 08, 2008 at 01:06 PM
Carleton, see here: http://economistmom.com/2008/06/donut-hole-in-obamas-social-security-tax/
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 01:23 PM
But as Von helpfully pointed out in a previous thread, there are at least 300 economists that trust him to a fault.
I dunno where you're getting this. I find it hard to believe that folks like Gary Becker and Vernon Smith would give up their credibility by signing a statement based solely on faith.
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 01:26 PM
I think you guys are wrong about the payroll tax, based on this. He didn't specify for a while, but then he did. Von, maybe you should do some of your own research before "correcting" hil.
Posted by: Katherine | July 08, 2008 at 01:33 PM
(also, I think your link directly contradicts the point you think it makes. It states:
"Instead, Obama is proposing that the current Social Security payroll tax of 6.2% apply to wage incomes up to the current maximum of $102,000, not at all to the wage dollars earned between $102,000 and $250,000, but again for wage dollars above $250,000. This is what the “donut hole” term refers to....
In other words, someone with wage income of $150,000 would see no change in payroll taxes from current law.)"
This does indeed seem like a messy way to structure a tax, but it is structured this way precisely so it is true that "Whether its income taxes, payroll taxes, capital gains, or stock dividends, his plan does not raise taxes on anyone below $250,000."
Posted by: Katherine | July 08, 2008 at 01:38 PM
Gary: So what's your point? With a cite to fact, please, rather than to someone's feelings.
You’ll have to take that up with the Senator. He’s the one who describes “the wealthy” one day as those making over $250k and another day as those making over $102k. In one speech the wealthy are the top 3-4%. In another it’s 6%. IMO the number of folks impacted between 3% and 6% is substantial (9 million give or take).
And in the statement I quoted (with cite you’ll note), it seems to me that he is clearly excluding those “3% to 4% of Americans who are above $102,000 in income” from his middle class tax cut. So if I agree with you (and apparently him) then those folks are wealthy, not middle class, and subject to having their payroll taxes increased. That seems to prove my original point when I disagreed with the statement “Obama has drawn a firm line in the sand at $250,000.”
From the same cite:
Obama defended his proposal by saying it would fall only on the upper class: "Understand that only 6% of Americans make more than $97,000--so 6% is not the middle class--it's the upper class."
Based on that rather unequivocal statement I have to assume that those making more than $97k will not be eligible for Obama’s middle class tax cuts.
Carleton: It's not a flip-flop every time someone fails to give every detail of their policy proposals.
Agreed – I just think that on such an important question to voters that I should be able to find a clear position statement. His statement on SS on his official website, on his issues page for SS does not mention the donut hole. The only cutoff mentioned is $102k. If you look at the other available statements from debates and speeches he uses that number (or $97) most often. References to the donut hole are always qualified as “willing to discuss it” or the like.
In any case – I find no evidence that “Obama has drawn a firm line in the sand at $250,000” – I do find plenty to the contrary.
Posted by: OCSteve | July 08, 2008 at 01:49 PM
Then you're simply not reading his June 2008 payroll tax proposal, OCSteve, which draws exactly that line, as stated in at least two links above.
Posted by: Katherine | July 08, 2008 at 01:54 PM
Ah, if only you'd been willing to devote this much time and analysis to what Bush said about his tax cuts, OCSteve. Oh wait.
Posted by: Jesurgislac | July 08, 2008 at 02:15 PM
Katherine: Well I just saw your links. ;)
We’ll see if that sticks for a while. Still - I don’t think I should have to track down a speech he made in a senior citizen home in Ohio (or have it pointed out to me) for that. It would be nice if they would update his official position on his official website.
Is he going to stick with under $250k as middle class now (and for all purposes)? That would be nice to know… Plus he is now in disagreement with Gary which is never a good thing. ;)
So now we can change gears to discuss how this donut hole fundamentally changes the nature of the program as it has existed since inception.
Posted by: OCSteve | July 08, 2008 at 02:20 PM
I think you guys are wrong about the payroll tax, based on this. He didn't specify for a while, but then he did. Von, maybe you should do some of your own research before "correcting" hil.
Thanks for the insight, Katherine, but please see here: http://economistmom.com/2008/06/donut-hole-in-obamas-social-security-tax/ (second time posted).
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 02:29 PM
(also, I think your link directly contradicts the point you think it makes. It states:
Aaargh. What a timewaster. Katherine, here is what Obama wrote in September 2007 -- his original plan, which he later said he may modify to include a donut hole. (It's from the linked article -- but you apparently didn't click all the way through -- so I reprint it here. Original source: >(http://www.qctimes.com/articles/2007/09/21/opinion/opinion/doc46f35dac127eb409456532.):
(Emphasis added.)
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 02:33 PM
As an aside: I don't agree with Katherine that a Obama has now settled on a final position regarding a donut whole. He is certainly moving in that direction, but he has given himself plenty of outs.
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 02:38 PM
donut whole ==> hole.
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 02:38 PM
OCSteve, $250,000 is the level below which he's saying he won't raise your taxes. That doesn't mean it's the level where you're middle class, or where you get the middle class tax cut. Taxes can stay the same for some people.
Posted by: KCinDC | July 08, 2008 at 02:57 PM
Yes: in 2007 he discussed the possibility of raising the payroll tax cap & discussed the possibility of a "donut whole exemption" without specifying the cap. Then, in June, he specified, as YOUR OWN LINK STATES, in the part I quoted, that payroll taxes would not go up for anyone making less than $250,000. It is, of course, possible that he could change that plan in office, in exactly the same way that it is always possible for any candidate to change any of their pre-election plans in office, but the proposal is perfectly clear & specific, Hilzoy & Bernstein are right, and the only "evidence" you produced to the contrary actually supports them & not you.
I agree that this is an absurd timewaster though.
Posted by: Katherine | July 08, 2008 at 02:59 PM
Katherine, Obama's team actually said that his proposal "could include" a donut hole, essentially adopting John Edwards' proposal. And, like I said, (1) Obama has been consistently repeating the donut hole idea while (2) keeping his options open.
Frankly, it's better economics to means-test on the back end.
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 05:56 PM
Frankly, it's better economics to means-test on the back end.
Means test based on what?
Posted by: Ugh | July 08, 2008 at 05:59 PM
It might be a good idea at this point for someone to do a post concerning exactly what constitutes the "middle class," because there doesn't seem to be an agreement on this count. For starters, virtually everyone who is neither abjectly poor nor obscenely wealthy seems to assume that the middle class must include them.
From a statistical perspective, the "middle class" would simply be the middle three quintiles -- those with household incomes between $20,032 and $97,029 (since Gary's lurking, cite). But while technically acceptable, that definition isn't really what most people use, in particular at the higher end.
I think part of the problem is that most people who are in the "upper class" don't really want to think of themselves as such, perhaps because they have a skewed idea of what being in the "upper class" actually means. It doesn't mean that you're independently wealthy, just that you're well ahead of the game. Let's face it, if your household income is over $97,000, you're probably not living from paycheck to paycheck unless you're doing something seriously wrong.
While I'm assigning homework, it would be interesting to see the trends in income inequality. What's the ratio of the "lower threshold" of the top 1% to the median income, for example? Recent evidence suggests that the trend is not good.
Posted by: tgirsch | July 08, 2008 at 06:06 PM
Because they have made a career of it?
Posted by: Davebo | July 08, 2008 at 06:34 PM
Re: means testing: I weakly favor asset testing, but recognize that earnings testing may be easier to do.
Because they have made a career of it?
I suppose that if one knew nothing about Simth's or Becker's careers, one would think this a clever retort.
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 07:16 PM
BTW, Katherine, just to be sure: you are seeking to defend the proposition that Obama hasn't shifted his position on the donut, right? (See Carleton Wu's post on July 08, 2008 at 01:06 PM, which my posts have been in response to.) Because I'm having real difficulty seeing where you're coming from on this one.
Posted by: von | July 08, 2008 at 07:20 PM
Yeah. We apparently don't speak the same language regarding the campaign, and you don't appear to understand the difference between a hypothetical--"One possible option, for example, is to raise the cap on the amount of income subject to the Social Security tax. If we kept the payroll tax rate exactly the same but applied it to all earnings and not just the first $97,500, we could virtually eliminate the entire Social Security shortfall"--and an actual campaign policy proposal. I don't think further conversation on campaign issues is productive, as I think your approach in the past few threads at best shows a mind made up regardless of the merits or content of any policy proposals, and at worst isn't even honest.
Posted by: Katherine | July 08, 2008 at 07:30 PM
(of course, my mind is equally made up as far as who I'm voting for. But that doesn't mean I'll twist the facts & make a bunch of unsupported assumptions in every conversation to make Obama look good & McCain look bad. For instance, on FISA? Obama is behaving smarmily, insulting my intelligence & has lost a remarkable amount of my respect in a short time.)
Posted by: Katherine | July 08, 2008 at 07:34 PM
"I dunno where you're getting this. I find it hard to believe that folks like Gary Becker and Vernon Smith would give up their credibility by signing a statement based solely on faith."
I certainly could be wrong, but my first guess would be that it came from this point that you haven't responded to. The one in which you appeared to explain that we allegedly don't know enough about the McCain plan to be allowed to criticise it, but we know enough that we should take note of people who have "endorsed" this plan that we don't yet know enough about to be allowed to discuss. I asked if I had that right; I'm still wondering, and perhaps others are, as well, since you haven't responded. You seemed to be saying that we should talk about the praise, but we can't criticize? Did I miss something in your position? It certainly would be good to otherstand your position as something different, so I do invite you, again, to clarify what you meant and mean.
But you do seem to repeat the point again with "I find it hard to believe that folks like Gary Becker and Vernon Smith would give up their credibility by signing a statement based solely on faith": how is it that you can assert that no one should criticize McCain's plan, because it hasn't been officially published yet, but if someone praises the non-published plan, we should pay attention to that, but, also, said praise isn't based on faith.
I'm really having trouble understanding what it is you're suggesting as regards how this should work. But maybe that's just me, and everyone else understands you clearly.
How does that work?
Right on both counts; thanks for the correction. I believe my point to OCSteve still stands as correct, though, does it not?Posted by: Gary Hussein Farber | July 08, 2008 at 07:58 PM
I should say: I'm actually quite surprised by some of the people who signed. The one that got me was Malkiel: he taught me in college, and I have a lot of respect for him.
Posted by: hilzoy | July 08, 2008 at 08:05 PM
"You’ll have to take that up with the Senator. He’s the one who describes 'the wealthy' one day as those making over $250k and another day as those making over $102k."
I'm not following you, OCSteve: both statements are factually true. Right? "Median household income was about $46,000 in 2005—half of all households had more income than this amount and half had less." If you have twice the median income, you're twice as wealthy as half the population, and if you have double that income, you're twice as wealthy as the first wealthy group.
"In one speech the wealthy are the top 3-4%. In another it’s 6%."
Sure. So? I mean, anyone in the top 35% of income in the country is in the top third of income in the country, and is wealthy. I mean, you do acknowledge this simple fact, right?
"That seems to prove my original point when I disagreed with the statement 'Obama has drawn a firm line in the sand at $250,000.'"
Okay, I do get this point, then, although Katherine then points out that "This does indeed seem like a messy way to structure a tax, but it is structured this way precisely so it is true that 'Whether its income taxes, payroll taxes, capital gains, or stock dividends, his plan does not raise taxes on anyone below $250,000.'"
"It would be nice if they would update his official position on his official website."
True.
"Is he going to stick with under $250k as middle class now (and for all purposes)? That would be nice to know… Plus he is now in disagreement with Gary which is never a good thing. ;)"
Thanks. ;-) "Middle-class" and "upper-class" are subjective terms unless we define them clearly, to be sure. That's without getting into definitions of "class" that aren't strictly income or wealth based. But certainly I wouldn't tend to quibble much, when discussing class-by-income/assets, in labeling someone making more than $250K a year as "upper-class" in income, offhand. But, then, to me, anyone making more than $20K looks good. I certainly would regard any individual making $97,500/year as "well-off," at the very least. Hell, I'd be happy right now to just have a few hundred dollars more, or to be able to earn a few thousand in the next year, and thus able to have the option of moving into a place of my own again in less than a year or two or three. But I digress.
KCinDC's comment seems accurate: "OCSteve, $250,000 is the level below which he's saying he won't raise your taxes. That doesn't mean it's the level where you're middle class, or where you get the middle class tax cut. Taxes can stay the same for some people."
I'm not aware that anyone is required to always use the term "middle class" with an identical means test as a definition in every use of the term. Do you know anyone who does that, and do you believe anyone or everyone should be required to hold to that degree of consistency? If not, I'm back to being unclear what your overall point is, other than suggesting that maximum clarity would be good, which is a point I'm always in agreement with.
Posted by: Gary Farber | July 08, 2008 at 08:24 PM