by hilzoy
(1) Did George Will really, truly mean to equate Paul Krugman and Ann Coulter? It sure sounds like it:
"There are the tantrums -- sometimes both theatrical and perfunctory -- of talking heads on television or commentators writing in vitriol (Paul Krugman's incessant contempt, Ann Coulter's equally constant loathing)."
I can't wait to see what Krugman quotes Will thinks are even remotely comparable to such highlights of the Coulter oeuvre as: ""My only regret with Timothy McVeigh is he did not go to the New York Times Building", or "We need somebody to put rat poisoning in Justice Stevens' creme brulee."
Besides, Paul Krugman is a very, very good economist. As far as I can tell, his attitude towards the Bush administration comes mostly from the fact that they have been systematically mendacious about an area of policy he knows an awful lot about; and the fact that he was angry earlier than most people just reflects the fact that he, unlike a lot of commenters, actually knows a major area of policy well enough to know when people are lying about it. The day Ann Coulter wins the second most prestigious prize in economics (after the Nobel), or any remotely comparable academic award*, I will personally post a video of myself singing a Kyrgyz translation of Bob Dylan's "Leopard-Skin Pillbox Hat" while wearing a tutu and standing on my head.
I do not own a tutu. Heck, I don't even own a video recorder. I can't think, offhand, how I would get "Leopard-Skin Pillbox Hat" translated into Kyrgyz. Yet somehow I'm not too worried. A miracle of composure in the face of danger: that's me.
(2) Via David Kurtz, writing at TPM, the Las Vegas Sun has the US Attorney scandal quote of the day:
"On Dec. 7, having just returned from Washington, D.C., Bogden took a call of a different kind from Mike Battle, director of the executive office for U.S. attorneys at the Justice Department.Bogden recalled the conversation Friday: "He says, 'Dan, it's time to step down. They want to go in another direction.'
"I say, 'Well, what direction is that?'
"He says, 'Dan, I don't know.' "
Bogden was blown away."
"Dan, I don't know." Gotta love it.
The LA Times (via Kevin Drum) has another article on Bogden's firing, and the Washington Post has one on Margaret Chiara. Neither can figure out what they were fired for.
(3) And now for something completely different: the journal Current Biology has an article called 'Metacognition in the Rat', arguing that rats are capable of metacognition -- the ability to know stuff about what you know. Here's the abstract:
" Here, we demonstrate for the first time that rats are capable of metacognition — i.e., they know when they do not know the answer in a duration-discrimination test. Before taking the duration test, rats were given the opportunity to decline the test. On other trials, they were not given the option to decline the test. Accurate performance on the duration test yielded a large reward, whereas inaccurate performance resulted in no reward. Declining a test yielded a small but guaranteed reward. If rats possess knowledge regarding whether they know the answer to the test, they would be expected to decline most frequently on difficult tests and show lowest accuracy on difficult tests that cannot be declined. Our data provide evidence for both predictions and suggest that a nonprimate has knowledge of its own cognitive state."
'Knowing that X', in this context, means something like: being able to respond differently depending on whether or not X is true. Thus, for instance, pigeons can be trained to tell the difference between photographs with and without trees, or water, or human beings, and even the difference between paintings by Monet and Picasso. (Great sentence from the abstract: "Furthermore, they showed generalization from Monet's to Cezanne's and Renoir's paintings or from Picasso's to Braque's and Matisse's paintings.") And they're quite sophisticated about it:
"Walcott recalls a study by Richard Hernstein at Harvard. The pigeon kept insisting that a slide contained a human face. None of the investigators could see it — just a house with a hedge. "Finally, somebody spotted a small child looking out the hedge!""
In the sense in question, these pigeons know whether or not a picture has a person in it or not, etc. Knowing that you know something, in this sense, just means something like: being able to respond differently depending on whether or not you know something. does not mean anything like: being able to think about this explicitly, still less something like: being able to consider the evidence for X and assess it. Still, metacognition had been thought to be confined to much more complicated animals than rats, so this is quite interesting.
(4) And how are you?
UPDATE: (5) Snark of the Week, If Not the Year: Wolcott on Jonah Goldberg.
* To be eligible, an award must be for achievement in some discipline related to the policies Coulter comments on. If the American Economic Association decides to call my bluff by creating an award for Most Loathsome Shrieking Harpy Under The Age Of Whatever Age Ann Coulter Is Under, that doesn't count.
I think an important matter in the news today is an upcoming Supreme Court case involving minimum wage requirements for home health aides hired through agencies. An important health care/immigrant/elderly/etc. hook.
Posted by: Joe | March 25, 2007 at 04:28 PM
"I will personally post a video of myself singing a Kyrgyz translation of Bob Dylan's "Leopard-Skin Pillbox Hat" while wearing a tutu and standing on my head."
Hell, I'd endow a prize in economic hackery just to see/hear that.
Posted by: Ginger Yellow | March 25, 2007 at 05:39 PM
Ginger Yellow: thus the little codicil at the end.
Posted by: hilzoy | March 25, 2007 at 06:48 PM
Is Krugman’s credibility on the economy that great? Maybe it is that filter again, but I seem to recall no…
Posted by: OCSteve | March 25, 2007 at 06:50 PM
OCSteve: yes.
Posted by: hilzoy | March 25, 2007 at 06:56 PM
That was a bit abrupt. But: he's a very serious economist, in another universe from most of his critics outside professional journals.
Posted by: hilzoy | March 25, 2007 at 06:59 PM
I think it has become standard practice for Will to equate those who become impatient with being lied to, with those who become impatient when their lies are not believed.
He has been doing it for as long as I can remember, and I am very old.
Posted by: thebewilderness | March 25, 2007 at 07:05 PM
Back to animal cognition for a quick item. About eight years ago my wife acquired her first horse, a young arabian mare, soon joined by a couple of companions. When the process started my knowledge of horses could be fairly summerized as "Have a leg at each corner and eat hay." I have found them smarter than I expected, but with easily seen limits.
One gelding, named Einstein is fearless. Neighbors can set of fireworks without upsetting him. The second gelding, Tom spooks when the breeze ruffles the leaves. The mare, Cleo falls somewhere in the middle. My amazement came one day when something spooked Einstein. He bolted and Cleo followed without an instant's hesitation. It was unexpected because I'd seen Tom bolt many times, and Cleo just raises here head from grazing and looks around to see if there really is anything to get excited about. So I started keeping track and sure enough, if something startles Einstein, Cleo will always run first and then stop to evaluate the situation. If Tom bolts, she'll look around to see if there really is a reason to worry. She understands the difference in their personalities, and acts rationally on that understanding. It displayed a level of abstraction I did not expect.
Posted by: Baskaborr | March 25, 2007 at 07:42 PM
Hilzoy:(4) And how are you?
Been on a high ever since I won Time's person of the year award last year.
Posted by: Ugh | March 25, 2007 at 07:45 PM
Once upon a time, I had a cat named Sofi, who was easily the smartest cat I've known. The first time I ever went away for a weekend after getting her, both she and Nils were very upset.
Nils would just follow me everywhere; when I went to thank the neighbor's kid who had fed them while I was away, I went inside their house, and Nils plastered himself, Garfield-style, to their screen door. One could explain this just by thinking: I was away, he got nervous; he wants reassurance, which I am a source of. No need to assume things like: he knew that I had gone away.
Sofi was different. For about a week, she just refused to acknowledge my presence at all. When I entered a room that she was in, she would react in sort of the same way she might react to the sudden appearance of a distasteful odor, and leave. One fine day, though, I was lying on my bed, and Sofi very tentatively came into the room. I stopped what I was doing, since I knew that this was significant. After a bit she came, again very tentatively, onto the bed. I reached out my hand for her to sniff, if she wanted to. She grabbed it and held it tight against her chest, with her front paws, for about 45 minutes.
She was angry at me in particular, because I had left her alone. It was very striking (and very touching.)
Posted by: hilzoy | March 25, 2007 at 07:51 PM
I forgot, does (3) mean I have to feel worse about the rats traps I need to set this week?
Posted by: Ugh | March 25, 2007 at 08:04 PM
(4) And how are you?
Actually, quite contented and smug, thank you. I will sleep for 36 hours straight, get up and work on the next show.
Posted by: gwangung | March 25, 2007 at 09:26 PM
Ick[1], TPM has a h**dia weight-loss ad now. Can fake R*l*xes and p*nis enl*rgement be far behind?
1. Please, no one start commenting with that name -- let Ugh be the only exclamation-based handle.
Posted by: KCinDC | March 25, 2007 at 10:09 PM
Ugh: I forgot, does (3) mean I have to feel worse about the rats traps I need to set this week?
Well, you could try putting up little signs saying "Beware! The Giant is Angry!" but the rats might set traps for you.
Hilzoy, I had a cat for years who - for the first year of her life - I quite literally took with me everywhere I went except to work. (There were complicated reasons why this was so. Never mind. I did.) She wasn't a lap cat, but she very much regarded me as her territory. And after that first year, when I went away without her, she wouldn't "speak" to me. She'd glance to make sure I was looking and turn so that she had her back to me. These periods of "not speaking" lasted a day to three days: after many years (especially after I got another cat) she got used to the idea that I didn't take her away with me any more. But the first time I left her for over two weeks, when she would have been about five years old, she was waiting at the top of the stairs the day I came back, greeted me enthusiastically for five minutes or so... and then didn't speak to me for three days.
Posted by: Jesurgislac | March 26, 2007 at 02:38 AM
(3) Surely the rats shouldn't be *allowed* to decline tests simply because they're difficult? It builds their character to be taken out of their comfort zone and to be given a real challenge. We are in danger of building a generation of molly-coddled rats.
Oh, sorry. I may have got this story confused with the one about student complaints. Do the rats all get given As at the end?
Posted by: magistra | March 26, 2007 at 04:03 AM
New Scientist's podcast had a segment on metacognition in animals last December. You can listen to it http://www.pheedo.com/click.phdo?i=56ecf994d90ffd335825cba25f454579>here.
Posted by: Ginger Yellow | March 26, 2007 at 08:16 AM
Haven't the ad homenem attacks against Goldberg gotten a little old? The man is a cream-puff to attack on his words; we should lay off his appearance. Or so it seems to me.
Posted by: Jeff | March 26, 2007 at 06:04 PM
Do the rats all get given As at the end?
Only if they earned them. We don't grade metacognition on a curve!
Posted by: Anarch | March 26, 2007 at 06:30 PM
Plus, "molly-coddled rats" sounds perilously close to a Roman delicacy...
Posted by: Anarch | March 26, 2007 at 06:30 PM
Let me tell you a great cat meta-cognition story: We have a cat, Scooter, who is (or was, depending on your POV) feral. My wife and I discovered her five years ago living in a storm drain outside our old apartment, about four weeks old, with no mother or siblings to be found. We started putting out milk, then food, for her, first right by the storm drain, then at our patio. She'd come to eat it, then quickly disappear. We very much wanted to rescue her and get her to a cat adoption agency and a veterinarian, but she would never let us approach within five feet of her. She'd simply turn and run. She'd come rub up against our screen door when our male cat, Rusty, was sitting there, but run as soon as we approached. She even avoided tripping a live trap by simply stepping over the trigger plate to eat, then stepping over it again to exit.
One night, she showed up outside our screen door with an enormous bite wound on her tail. We opened the door and she walked right in. She allowed us to pick her up, take her to the vet, and have her examined. For three weeks afterward, we had to irrigate the tail wound with a saline solution and apply a salve to it. She allowed us to do it without complaint. (Except for one ugly bowel-voiding incident when it was particularly painful.) She allowed us to hold, pet and comfort her.
That was four and a half years ago. Since the day the wound was pronounced healed and vet care was finished, she's lived in our home, but we are not allowed to touch or approach her. She's back to her old feral behavior, only with a roof over her head and regular feeding. She somehow knew enough to know that for the duration of her injury she could be taken care of, and used that time, then reverted right back to previous behavior.
Cats is smart.
Posted by: Phil | March 27, 2007 at 07:06 PM