by hilzoy
The more I mull over the Hamdan decision (pdf), the clearer it seems that it's a mistake to focus exclusively on its implications for the prisoners at Guantanamo. Don't get me wrong: there are surely innocent people down there, held without contact with the outside world, often in prolonged isolation, whose families and loved ones may not know whether or not they are alive; and every single one of them who has a chance to contest his imprisonment in a fair hearing has gained something of enormous value. It's just that this isn't all that's at stake; and that's true in both a good and a bad way.
The good news, of course, is that this decision really does seem not just to extend the Geneva Convention's Article 3 to all detainees, but to demolish the administration's claim that both the Authorization for the Use of Military Force and Article II of the Constitution give him the right to do whatever he wants, including ignoring existing statutes. I cheered when I read this footnote from the majority opinion:
"“Whether or not the President has independent power, absent congressional authorization, to convene military commissions, he may not disregard limitations that Congress has, in proper exercise of its own war powers, placed on his powers.”"
Congress does have war powers! The President cannot disregard statutes at will! We live in a Republic, not a dictatorship! It's a sad commentary on our present circumstances that things like this have to be reaffirmed, but it would, of course, be vastly worse had they been denied. (As they could easily have been had Bush been able to nominate one more Justice, and had Roberts not had to recuse himself.)
However, these points have already been made very well by Glenn Greenwald, Marty Lederman, Jack Balkin, and Karl Blanke. Rather than repeat what they have said more elegantly, and with a lot more knowledge to back it up, I'm going to focus on the bad news, which is: this decision in no way ensures that all, or even most, of the people our government is currently detaining outside the normal legal system will have any rights or recourse whatsoever.
Why is that? One word: Bagram.
"Other military and administration officials said the growing detainee population at Bagram, which rose from about 100 prisoners at the start of 2004 to as many as 600 at times last year, according to military figures, was in part a result of a Bush administration decision to shut off the flow of detainees into Guantánamo after the Supreme Court ruled that those prisoners had some basic due-process rights. The question of whether those same rights apply to detainees in Bagram has not been tested in court.Until the court ruling, Bagram functioned as a central clearing house for the global fight against terror. Military and intelligence personnel there sifted through captured Afghan rebels and suspected terrorists seized in Afghanistan, Pakistan and elsewhere, sending the most valuable and dangerous to Guantánamo for extensive interrogation, and generally releasing the rest.
But according to interviews with current and former administration officials, the National Security Council effectively halted the movement of new detainees into Guantánamo at a cabinet-level meeting at the White House on Sept. 14, 2004.
Wary of further angering Guantánamo's critics, the council authorized a final shipment of 10 detainees eight days later from Bagram, the officials said. But it also indicated that it wanted to review and approve any Defense Department proposals for further transfers. Despite repeated requests from military officials in Afghanistan and one formal recommendation by a Pentagon working group, no such proposals have been considered, officials said.
"Guantánamo was a lightning rod," said a former senior administration official who participated in the discussions and who, like many of those interviewed, would discuss the matter in detail only on the condition of anonymity because of the secrecy surrounding it. "For some reason, people did not have a problem with Bagram. It was in Afghanistan.""
Conditions at Bagram are worse than at Guantanamo:
"From the accounts of former detainees, military officials and soldiers who served there, a picture emerges of a place that is in many ways rougher and more bleak than its counterpart in Cuba. Men are held by the dozen in large wire cages, the detainees and military sources said, sleeping on the floor on foam mats and, until about a year ago, often using plastic buckets for latrines. Before recent renovations, they rarely saw daylight except for brief visits to a small exercise yard."Bagram was never meant to be a long-term facility, and now it's a long-term facility without the money or resources," said one Defense Department official who has toured the detention center. Comparing the prison with Guantánamo, the official added, "Anyone who has been to Bagram would tell you it's worse.""
(Things have improved recently, though: "Corrals surrounded by stacked razor wire that had served as general-population cells gave way to less-forbidding wire pens that generally hold no more than 15 detainees, military officials said."
When wire pens holding fifteen people count as an improvement, something has gone badly wrong.)
Moreover, while many of the prisoners at Guantanamo have lawyers, those at Bagram don't:
"But some of the detainees have already been held at Bagram for as long as two or three years. And unlike those at Guantánamo, they have no access to lawyers, no right to hear the allegations against them and only rudimentary reviews of their status as "enemy combatants," military officials said.Privately, some administration officials acknowledge that the situation at Bagram has increasingly come to resemble the legal void that led to a landmark Supreme Court ruling in June 2004 affirming the right of prisoners at Guantánamo to challenge their detention in United States courts.
While Guantánamo offers carefully scripted tours for members of Congress and journalists, Bagram has operated in rigorous secrecy since it opened in 2002. It bars outside visitors except for the International Red Cross and refuses to make public the names of those held there. The prison may not be photographed, even from a distance."
Moreover:
"The most basic complaint of those released was that they had been wrongly detained in the first place. In many cases, former prisoners said they had been denounced by village enemies or arrested by the local police after demanding bribes they could not pay. (...)As at Guantánamo, the military has instituted procedures at Bagram intended to ensure that the detainees are in fact enemy combatants. Yet the review boards at Bagram give fewer rights to the prisoners than those used in Cuba, which have been criticized by human rights officials as kangaroo courts. (...)
Reviews are conducted after 90 days and at least annually thereafter, but detainees are not informed of the accusations against them, have no advocate and cannot appear before the board, officials said. "The detainee is not involved at all," one official familiar with the process said."*
Bagram is scheduled to be shut down within about a year. Most of the detainees will be turned over to the Afghan government, but some may end up in the new high-security prison our government is building near Kabul.
***
As I read the Hamdan decision, it does require that the protections of Article 3 of the Geneva Conventions be extended to all detainees, including these. However, there doesn't seem to be any way at all for this requirement to be enforced. It's not just that it's unclear either that Hamdan allows for an individual cause of action based on the Geneva Conventions, or that the arguments the court made in Rasul would apply to detainees held in Afghanistan. The more serious problem is: if no one other than the ICRC, which has a policy of strict confidentiality, is allowed to visit this facility; if the names of detainees are not released; if no one outside the government has any clue what's going on there, or to whom, then how on earth can anyone try to enforce the law there? How could the detainees get lawyers? And how could those lawyers possibly represent them adequately without being allowed to meet them, learn about the conditions in which they're being kept or the justification for keeping them there, and so on?
(I'd be interested in any lawyers' take on this. How would one bring the law to bear in a situation like this if the government was determined to prevent it?)
In my more cynical moments, I interpret Bush's claim that he wants to close Guantanamo down not as the expression of an idle wish, but in light of these facts. The Supreme Court, he might say, thinks we made a mistake in not treating detainees at Guantanamo in accordance with the Geneva Conventions. I think we made a mistake in allowing people access to those detainees. We corrected that mistake two years ago; we do have to figure out what to do with the detainees who are still at Guantanamo, but going forward, the Supreme Court won't be bothering us anymore. Because we have created a real legal black hole, from which no light escapes.
And if it turns out that the administration did slip up by allowing one tiny piece of information to slip out -- specifically, the name and location of their new Guantanamo -- and this somehow allows the courts to extend legal protections to the detainees there, I predict a sudden increase in the populations of the black sites, about which not even that much is known.
***
* Footnote: Here's the official description of the procedure for determining guilt or innocence at Bagram:
"Detainees under DoD control in Afghanistan are subject to a review process that first determines whether an individual is an enemy combatant. The detaining Combatant Commander, or designee, shall review the initial determination that the detainee is an enemy combatant. This review is based on all available and relevant information available on the date of the review and may be subject to further review based upon newly discovered evidence or information. The Commander will review the initial determination that the detainee is an enemy combatant within 90 days from the time that a detainee comes under DoD control. After the initial 90-day status review, the detaining combatant commander, on an annual basis, is required to reassess the status of each detainee. Detainees assessed to be enemy combatants under this process remain under DoD control until they no longer present a threat. The review process is conducted under the authority of the Commander, U.S. Central Command (USCENTCOM). If, as a result of the periodic Enemy Combatant status review (90-day or annual), a detaining combatant commander concludes that a detainee no longer meets the definition of an enemy combatant, the detainee is released."
That's not a procedure that even remotely resembles a trial.
So, lemme see..."The Commander will review the initial determination that the detainee is an enemy combatant within 90 days from the time that a detainee comes under DoD control." OK, and how is this done? (drum roll)...fuckn' torture, mah dear, torture. Hmmmm, screaming versus admitting anything that will stop the pain and bingo! Ain't no-one here but us terrorists, move along folks. American Gulag is upon us.
Posted by: GreginOz | June 30, 2006 at 02:51 AM
if no one other than the ICRC, which has a policy of strict confidentiality, is allowed to visit this facility
There are areas of Bagram to which the ICRC has no access.
No doubt that will be true for the new "facility", too.
As I said: What next?
It would appear that the official Republican talking point is that the Supreme Court decision was effectively "a treaty with al-Qaeda" and so the President does right to ignore it.
Posted by: Jesurgislac | June 30, 2006 at 04:01 AM
Hil:
They were actually operating under somewhat similar conditions when they filed Rasul--only the Red Cross had access to the prisoners. The lawyers who filed the claims could not meet their clients or even mail them the complaint. The administration didn't release the full list of their names until this April.
The way you sue is to get authorization from a family member who can act as "next friend" in the habeas case. If the ICRC has access to the prisoners at Bagram I think there's a good chance they can send mail to their families.
In Guantanamo, though, the prisoners who were the first habeas plaintiffs were citizens of England and Australia, and their families spoke English, had the resources to contact lawyers, could get confirmation from their gov'ts that their relatives were being held there. In Bagram, this is probably not the case. And Afghanistan is very dangerous.
If they did file a habeas case it would presumably be the same drill as Rasul: they'd need to win on the jurisdiction issue at the Supreme Court before they even got to meet their clients. And based on Kennedy's Rasul concurrence, I don't know that they have 5 votes for jurisdiction because the "oh come on of course it's US territory and will be forever" argument doesn't apply the same way--Afghanistan is a war zone right now.
There is one additional incentive to comply with Common Article 3 now, though: as Kennedy specifically noted in his concurrence, violations of Common Article 3 are crimes--serious felonies, punishable by death in some cases--under the U.S. war crimes statute. They will not, of course, prosecute anyone under this statute now. But the prospect of later prosecutions may make the services and CIA nervous enough that the predictable "why waterboarding is still legal" OLC memo just won't cut it anymore.
That's not a given, because they have done other things that there's a reasonable case expose them to criminal liability under the anti-torture statute. But at a minimum I think it requires the adminstration to write an even more sweeping set of "torture memos" than the first one. Because as bad as the argument that these techniques are not "torture" is, the argument that they comply with C.A.3. is even harder. (They'd have to instead argue that the Supreme Court didn't really say that C.A.3 applies, or use the commander in chief override).
This prospect of criminal liability is the second major difference with the McCain amendment, which outlawed but did not provide for criminal liability for cruel, inhuman and degrading treatment. (Glenn Greenwald gets this exactly backwards in his post and comments today btw--someone should straighten him out.)
Posted by: Katherine | June 30, 2006 at 07:15 AM
This comment from Walter Dellinger in response to Hamdi and Rasul two years back does make you wonder if we're being way too optimistic, though:
"My goodness, Dahlia! The Great Writ lives. Government by law is reaffirmed. Constitutional balance is restored. A historic day. It's hard to know where to begin."
Oy.
Posted by: Katherine | June 30, 2006 at 07:20 AM
Can we have a separate post on the issue of the US occupation in Iraq disregarding the Geneva Conventions (both with regard to prisoners of war and civilian persons)?
The US occupation swept up tens of thousands of Iraqis and held them prisoner (I recall a post on Tacitus's blog two or three years ago now about a 10-year-old boy who was held for weeks in an adult detention center after a US army raid on his family's home), sometimes explicitly as hostages in contravention of Article 3.b, sometimes by mistake (Nir Rosen's article references an instance of the "wrong Ayoub" being arrested, only to discover that the Ayoub they were after was a teenage boy who'd been talking about video games), sometimes because a son might protest against his father's arrest (or vice versa).
Some of these prisoners were killed: some are probably still in detention: some were eventually released. In some cases, the Geneva Conventions were followed: in some they were not (and I am not even talking about torture: just about the ordinary humane provisions required by the Detaining Power) and no senior officers (and few NCOs, even) have been penalized for soldiers under their command breaking the Geneva Conventions.
Posted by: Jesurgislac | June 30, 2006 at 07:39 AM
Well, that was a depressing read for a Friday morning. And it's too early to start drinking, even for me.
Posted by: Ugh | June 30, 2006 at 07:42 AM
The Hamdan decision doesn't end hunger in Africa, flooding in Bangladesh, impoliteness in New York City, or even the Jesse James cult in western Missouri.
It does give military officers strong support to turn in their membership badges in the Bush cult. This is a big deal, even in Bagram.
Posted by: CharleyCarp | June 30, 2006 at 07:48 AM
CharleyCarp: The Hamdan decision doesn't end hunger in Africa, flooding in Bangladesh, impoliteness in New York City, or even the Jesse James cult in western Missouri.
You're the very first person I've seen suggesting that it would do any of those things, Charley. Did you read anyone anywhere suggesting that it did?
It does give military officers strong support to turn in their membership badges in the Bush cult. This is a big deal, even in Bagram.
I certainly hope you're right about that. I look at what happened to Joseph Darby, though, and I wonder.
Posted by: Jesurgislac | June 30, 2006 at 08:14 AM
I'd like to apologize for the sarky first part of my comment to CharleyCarp. It was a thoughtless piece of sarcasm to someone who's done more individually than any of the rest of us for the prisoners in Guantanamo Bay, and I'm ashamed I wrote it.
Sorry, Charley.
Posted by: Jesurgislac | June 30, 2006 at 08:29 AM
whatsamatter with impoliteness in New York City?
You tellin me there's something WRONG with impoliteness in New York City?
You wanna come over here and say that?
Posted by: n'y'not? | June 30, 2006 at 08:32 AM
CharleyCarp: "The Hamdan decision doesn't end hunger in Africa, flooding in Bangladesh, impoliteness in New York City, or even the Jesse James cult in western Missouri."
Yes, but the difference is, no one would expect it to do any of these things. I'm not sure everyone realizes that we stopped sending prisoners to Guantanamo (except for that one group of ten) right after Rasul came down, so people might think that this would apply to most of the people we're holding.
As I said, though, I do not for a moment want to deny or minimize what this means to the prisoners at Guantanamo. To let someone who has been kept in conditions designed to deprive him of any hope or comfort know that there is a way for him at least to state his case is, I would think, enormously significant -- both directly and insofar as it lets him know that things are not entirely hopeless, since there is some concrete step he might take that would let him prove his innocence, if he is innocent, and bring his confinement to an end.
For some reason, one of the details about the Uighurs that always really got to me was the thought that they had children they had never met, children who were growing up without a father, and who had not even known that their father was alive for years. To be that father, and to know that your children's childhood was slipping away, that you might never meet them at all, and that there was nothing on earth that you could do to change that, even after your captors had concluded that you were innocent -- I couldn't imagine what that would be like. All the more so since that was just one detail among many.
Posted by: hilzoy | June 30, 2006 at 09:28 AM
Does the 2005 DTA even apply to Bagram?
Posted by: Ugh | June 30, 2006 at 09:48 AM
1)The number I heard was 83,000 worldwide, which seems absurdly high, but if there are 600 in Afghanistan, one should presume at least 10 times that in Iraq.
2) A monstrosity. 50 years after Nuremburg, and we are torturing, indefinite detention without habeus, etc and I am supposed to celebrate the expansion of Youngstown with Hamdan as curbs on Executive Power. Look, folks, we should not have to parse the law, convince SCOTUS, and go to Congress to preserve habeus and Geneva Article 3. There were plenty of laws on the books that should have stopped Auschwitz. And I will not sccept an argument of the form:"Auschwitz did not stop Pol Pot." THIS IS AMERICA.
4) So how do we stop this? Bush will always find footsoldiers, if he has to hire Thais or Guatemalans. Perhaps there is no way to stop monsters like Pol Pot, Saddam, and Bush.
But Nuremburg rules strikes me as the most reasonable attempt. Within drastic punishment at the top, it will happen again.
PS:Anyone offended by the comparison above, if a man entrusted with protection of the law puts himself outside the law and kills one, we are just absurdly keeping score. He can kill 6 million. My example has been Cheney blowing away Reid on the Senate floor. It is the offense to the law that matters more than the offense to people.
And honestly, saving one person does not protect the law.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | June 30, 2006 at 10:20 AM
Rather than repeat what they have said more elegantly, and with a lot more knowledge to back it up, I'm going to focus on the bad news, which is: this decision in no way ensures that all, or even most, of the people our government is currently detaining outside the normal legal system will have any rights or recourse whatsoever.
I think the necessary focus isn't on the ability of detainees or those who represent them to enforce their rights -- it's on the criminal liability of everyone participating in their detention insofar as it does not comply with Common Article 3. Those people know who they are, other people within the US military and intelligence community know who they are, and after this decision there is a very strong argument that they are committing war crimes in the eyes of the Supreme US legal authority. The jailers at black-sites are now in a position where they know that they may possibly find themselves under arrest at some future date, and have no better defense than that they were only following orders.
Posted by: LizardBreath | June 30, 2006 at 10:30 AM
Congress does have war powers! The President cannot disregard statutes at will! We live in a Republic, not a dictatorship!
To this conservative, no "reaffirmation" necessary. Those who really did hold those views are monumentally out of step with the reality of the checks and balances in our government.
On the GC, the SC made the obvious decision. It also seems obvious that the same rules to be applied at Gitmo also apply in any other locations where detainees are held. POW status need not apply, but all must be treated humanely. I expect Congress will step in and outline a process for competent military tribunals in the coming months.
Posted by: Charles Bird | June 30, 2006 at 10:44 AM
Jes: not needed at all. My point is that what Hamdan didn't do, it could not have done.
Ugh: I don't have it in front of me, but I think the jurisdiction stripping provision of the DTA is limited to GTMO. I'm quite sure of that. The provisions of the DTA that preclude abusive treatment do apply to Bagram -- I believe that this was the point of the signing statement, and the insistence that no AQ suspects are covered by CA3. All that's gone now -- as LB says, people at the black sites are acting at their peril now, and this peril is going to long outlast this Administration. I expect to see a long list of pardons at the end of the term, but I think plenty of people are going to have to restrict their foreign travel.
NYnot: Well, I didn't say that everyone in NYC is impolite. Someone want to argue the position that no one in NYC is ever impolite?
Posted by: CharleyCarp | June 30, 2006 at 10:50 AM
Those who really did hold those views are monumentally out of step with the reality of the checks and balances in our government.
Of course. That they are employed by, or support, the current Administration is not irrelevant. But it's a truly fine thing if conservatives find their points of disagreement with the Adminsistration on the respective roles under the Constitution, and move the government to better respect for the traditions of our civilization.
Posted by: CharleyCarp | June 30, 2006 at 10:56 AM
I expect Congress will step in and outline a process for competent military tribunals in the coming months.
Charles, I hope that Congress steps up and requires all of the detainees that we're holding, at all of the different sites, to face this kind of reasonable, GC-approved procedure (rather than the kinds of arbitrary decisions that Hilzoy and others have been describing). But I'm not optimistic. If the next four months prove that our current Congress does not want to do this, would you consider voting for members of Congress who do (and encouraging others to do the same)?
Posted by: Blar | June 30, 2006 at 11:03 AM
Will Hamdan Have Any Effect on the Bush Presidency Greenwald rejoices. The Moderate Process Freak criticizes Atrios and Digby for "cynicism and defeatism".
No "cynicism and defeatism" here. Just a recognition that as heroic and noble Harriet Tubman was, it was Lincoln and Grant that freed the slaves. That the 14th amendment gave no one any rights, that Brown vs Board did not end segregation. Guys with guns, National Guard and FBI did those things. Some species gotta get hit with a 2x4, some ideologies only respect force. Youda thunk we might have learned something in 300 years.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | June 30, 2006 at 11:04 AM
"To this conservative, no "reaffirmation" necessary. Those who really did hold those views are monumentally out of step with the reality of the checks and balances in our government."
Would a search of the archives support that this has been you enduring and consistent opinion, stated clearly and forcefully?
Posted by: bob mcmanus | June 30, 2006 at 11:07 AM
John Yoo fires back at the Supreme Court here.
Let's see:
1. False choice between what Bush wanted and full-blown civilian criminal trials? Check.
2. Invocation of FDR and Lincoln? Check (he also throws in Washington and Jackson).
3. September 11th? Check.
4. Falsely implying that the courts have never been involved in previous wars? Check.
Posted by: Ugh | June 30, 2006 at 11:42 AM
Actually, the thing reads in toto like a temper-tantrum because the Supreme Court just spat on his theory of executive power.
Posted by: Ugh | June 30, 2006 at 12:14 PM
I expect Congress will step in and outline a process for competent military tribunals in the coming months.
I expect they'll step in and offer-up some exceptionally heinous and nonsensical election-year demagoguery.
Posted by: cleek | June 30, 2006 at 02:06 PM
To this conservative, no "reaffirmation" necessary. Those who really did hold those views are monumentally out of step with the reality of the checks and balances in our government.
On the GC, the SC made the obvious decision. It also seems obvious that the same rules to be applied at Gitmo also apply in any other locations where detainees are held.
But Charles, among those who do not consider the decision "obvious" are conservative heroes Scalia, Thomas, Alito, and Roberts (as an appellate judge).
I don't doubt your sincerity, but is there really a substantial body of conservative opinion that supports this decision? Where is it? Who does it consist of?
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | June 30, 2006 at 03:18 PM
Brad Delong
Scott Lemieux
And so many others on the left are celebrating Hamdan as a separation of powers victory for democracy.
Dudes, dudes, your irrational Bush-hatred is blinding and confusing you. The important point here is not the proper legal procedures that should used in order to legalize torture, mistreatment of prisoners, and atrocities. This is not about Bush.
This should be about whether the Hague, Geneva and Torture Conventions are codes of behavior we can conceivably "opt out of" in any way and remain a legitimate nation.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | June 30, 2006 at 03:48 PM
National Review has this to say.
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | June 30, 2006 at 03:55 PM
National Review has this to say.
What putrid bunch of wasteful nonsense.
Posted by: Ugh | June 30, 2006 at 04:32 PM
What putrid bunch of wasteful nonsense.
Agreed. I was just looking for some significant conservative support for the decision (not that Charles is insignificant, but he doesn't have quite the clout in right-wing circles that NR has). Guess I'll look elsewhere.
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | June 30, 2006 at 05:18 PM
Bernard: I thought of writing something about that, but couldn't stand it.
One more occasion for my favorite Emerson quote:
Posted by: hilzoy | June 30, 2006 at 05:28 PM
I prefer, "Man will occasionally stumble over the truth, but most of the time he will pick himself up and continue on."
Posted by: Sebastian Holsclaw | June 30, 2006 at 05:54 PM
This should be about whether the Hague, Geneva and Torture Conventions are codes of behavior we can conceivably "opt out of" in any way and remain a legitimate nation.
Exactly. And this is a battle that has to be fought in Congress, not the courts. Bob, I don't expect that your senators can be turned, but that doesn't prevent you from calling people you know in places where senators can be turned.
You can write an op-ed: I forget, but didn't Sam Houston treat Mexican captives at San Jacinto much more favorably than Santa Ana did captives at Goliad? (As if anything could have been worse!) WWSHD?
Posted by: CharleyCarp | June 30, 2006 at 06:06 PM
Good one, Sebastian. I never heard it before. While we're in the neighborhood, Thoreau seems relevant:
Always you have to contend with the stupidity of men.
Posted by: Bernard Yomtov | June 30, 2006 at 06:32 PM
Peripheral to topic? But good
Ron Suskind & The Revolt of the Professionals ...nadezdha at American Footprints
Posted by: bob mcmanus | June 30, 2006 at 07:32 PM
Directly on topic;Billmon on Hamdan. Dangerous and sensitive material here, adults only:Billmon mentions Johnson vs Eisentrager and uses the words "judicial activism." But it's good judicial activism.
Maybe not. Perhaps the Bush administration should publicly pull a Jackson, repudiate Hamdan, re-assert Executive Independence, and flay a couple Gitmo kids on the WH lawn just to show they mean business. Be good politics, too. Fox would cover it live.
Crime and Punishment
"Ultimately, that’s why we have a Constitution that makes international treaties, once executed, part of the supreme law of the land – and an independent judiciary to interpret that law, even if it means identifying the vice president of the United States, and his stooges, as common criminals." ...Billmon
Aw Gee, guys. Read nadezdha. It's Bush. Bush is nobody's bit..puppet.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | June 30, 2006 at 08:02 PM
Bob McM -- Many thanks for the link, and although my post is "peripheral," you're right that it's not OT.
The point from my post that's on-topic is that the approaches taken by the Bush Admin in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 were improvisation and not sustainable. That goes not only for the treatment of detainees -- whether Gitmo or Bagram, extraordinary detentions, torture etc -- but lots of other stuff like the intel abuses of ignoring FISA and other basic legal/constitutional protections. Fine as short-term emergency measures, perhaps, but as SCOTUS dicta stressed, we're not in a perpetual undeclared national state-of-emergency.
Suskind describes some of the reasons why the Bush Admin has clung to its initial approach to the GWOT (which extends to Iraq etc.) even in the face of ample evidence that their approach isn't working or is self-defeating. Extending his earlier stories on the dysfunctional inner-workings of the Bush Presidency, he shows how the idiosyncracies of the Oval Office and the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld worldview have produced perverse incentives throughout the national security bureaucracies. Shorter: they're still driven by the fear-based dynamics of 9/11.
However, a growing number of pros in the military and intel ranks not only recognize that the initial emergency structures aren't sustainable. They also fear that they, rather than their political leaders, will get left holding the bag.
Before Hamdan the political types could pressure the pros with Yoo-type legal cover/bluffs. If the pros pushed back or didn't go along, it would be a career-limiting gesture, as it were. The argument of the Bushies -- "hey, it's legal, and you're either with us or against us."
What CharleyCarp is suggesting is that the pros who disagree with the Admin approach on a whole lot of things just got a big fat club they can use internally. They can now say back -- "hey, it's not legal -- or at least your old legal opinion isn't worth squat, so bring me another."
IMHO, that's a big deal. It means that even if (when) the guys at the top try to end-run the laws and treaties on the books, there will be a whole lot of pros who won't go along and/or will feel that their disclosure of abuses and future end-runs has been supported by SCOTUS. There must be more than a few in the current ranks of pros who feel vindicated today.
On the particulars of Gitmo, Bagram and detainee treatment generally, the Court hasn't done much other than put the ball in Congress' court. But that's a major improvement, even if Congress winds up giving the Admin a lot of what it wants and granting an amnesty of sorts for past behavior.
So the battle now turns to Congress and the court of public opinion, where the Rovian troops will try between now and November to convince voters that SCOTUS has just committed treason. That's where all of hilzoy's and your concerns are going to have to be thrashed out. And as an aside, I think we're going to have to take a big-picture view of amnesty and recognize that it's going to be the price of getting something tolerable out of Congress and this White House.
It's going to be a very very ugly battle, but at least we can have the battle now, because SCOTUS has just removed the crown from the king's head.
My post has a good deal more on both Bush and Suskind. And I highly recommend Eric Martin's follow-up: The Fear of Fear Itself. He expands on the fear-based dynamics and how that's fatally undermining the development of a sensible global counterterrorism strategy.
Posted by: nadehzda | June 30, 2006 at 08:39 PM
I wonder if we will ever know how large AQ was on 9/12/01. The Bush Admin has spent hundreds of billions in this war on "terror", and yet I wonder just how many true committed terrorists there were on that day willing to die in order to kill Americans.
Was is thousands, a few hundred, or maybe even less?
Posted by: Francis | June 30, 2006 at 09:57 PM
"What CharleyCarp is suggesting is that the pros who disagree with the Admin approach on a whole lot of things just got a big fat club they can use internally" ...nadezdha
ok, now I get it better. Hamdan good thing.
...
I partly linked this because of the short discussion with Eric Martin of what could happen with another serious event. I am no longer sure we will flip into authoritarianism; could be Bush et al couldn't handle it and the WH would meltdown.
Tho having lived thru the "Final Days" of Nixon the bureacracy just chugs along.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | July 01, 2006 at 04:27 AM
Nadezha, very interesting reading. I've thought for some time now that the peculiar failures of useful response on 9/11/01 itself could be explained in very large degree by the Bush/Cheney combination of being cowards and control freaks. Your piece and Eric's extend that idea into realms I hadn't thought about in that light before, but it rings true.
Posted by: Bruce Baugh | July 01, 2006 at 07:27 AM
"all other acts and things which independent states may of right do"
-- Declaration of Independence
This seems to be the core of the issue. The provisions at stake here spoke of procedures required for a "civilized" people. The fact it is a big thing for the Supreme Court to reaffirm what should be a basic point is sad.
I think that "due process" requires "civilized treatment" to "persons" under U.S. control. It's fine if this is secured by treaty rights, statutory habeas, or whatnot, but the obligation is there. Again, I do not see this as some "liberal" or "enemy loving" thing.
States, especially after WWII, do not the "right" to do anything they want. They might have the power ... but we were to be more than that.
Posted by: Joe | July 01, 2006 at 03:13 PM
Crime and Punishment
Billmon corrects himself in an update, and so must I, as a matter of gentleman's honour.
"Bottom line: Justice Stevens was completely right; it was the D.C. Circuit that tried to pull a fast one." ...Billmon
Appears men without honour have been placed on the Court, and there are Democrats who are planning their impeachment.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | July 01, 2006 at 08:10 PM
Bob, I think you'll be interested in the new Hersh. And perhaps everyone else, too.
Also, has anyone mentioned this UPI article, and the Administration threat to try to removed Article 3 from the UCMJ? Rather large news, I think, if anything comes of it, that I'm pointing to.
I've been keeping busy with a variety of other posts, some important, some merely amusing, while not commenting here, if anyone is interested.
Hey, DaveC? Remember Afghanistan?
Anyone following the lunacy around the NY Times travel section, and why it's resulted in Times employees' addresses being posted, and their children threatened?
Commander Swift gets much press.
California's Homeland Security office proposes making lists of all Iranians in the state. Isn't it nice to see them respect their history of this sort of thing?
On the lighter side: future Google; statues strange beyond belief. Your obligatory kitten/puppy picture.
And much much more!
(Well, in the past two days I've had links from Digby, Glenn Greenwald, Mahablog, Sideshow, and elsewhere, but my old pals here seem to just ignore me unless I plug myself, which is always frustrating and discouraging, and not to mention that it makes my palms hairy, but, hey, hope everyone's having a great weekend!)
Posted by: Gary Farber | July 02, 2006 at 12:09 PM
Gary--I saw that article. There was another press conference with anonymous "senior administration officials" that sounded less ominous, but it bears watching closely.
I'm pretty concerned with the congressional reaction to this. I don't THINK they'll do anything to Common Article 3 or the war crimes statute, but it's not impossible. They may try another round of habeas stripping. Specter, who was on our side during the Graham Amendment introduced a pretty terrible bill on Thursday. It bears watching very closely.
I think we have more time than last fall, but we also have approaching midterms & very easily intimidated Democrats. Could be a fight.
Posted by: Katherine | July 02, 2006 at 12:36 PM
Ya know, Gary, for some reason I had thought the Iran Threat (Bush attacking Iran) was over.
I thought the nadezdha post was wonderful. Cheney may determine goals to a degree, but Bush determines means. "I don't do nuance" is the critical determinant of Bush administration policy.
And I hate Rumsfeld's new military, airpower and special forces. I have to go study hegemons vs empires. This choice determines domestic policy.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | July 02, 2006 at 12:58 PM
Despite the post title and URL, Gary is talking about statues, not statutes.
Posted by: KCinDC | July 02, 2006 at 01:13 PM
Re. Afghanistan: a live report from Kandahar from Sarah Chayes (interviewed by Leonard Lopate).
Posted by: ral | July 02, 2006 at 01:47 PM
"Despite the post title and URL"
The URL is the post title, and has to be. But, yeah, I hate making typos in subject headers for precisely that reason; I can't fix them without breaking any links. Note that I didn't repeat the typo here.
Posted by: Gary Farber | July 02, 2006 at 02:04 PM
Oh boy, here we go:
Lindsey Graham on Common Article 3:
Looks like another "all hands on deck moment for those of us who believe in the rule of law" is approaching. (That's Charley's phrase.)
Posted by: Katherine | July 02, 2006 at 03:44 PM
"Looks like another 'all hands on deck moment for those of us who believe in the rule of law' is approaching."
And so it begins. I've updated.
Posted by: Gary Farber | July 02, 2006 at 04:24 PM
Billmon;link above at 8:10
"For me, there are two critical issues in this legal wilderness, neither of which involve the courtroom procedures used to try terrorists."
The first is the threshold issue – who gets to decide who is an enemy combatant, lawful or otherwise, and on what basis." ...Billmon
To an extent I disagree with Billmon as to how the "actual terrorists" should be treated, but if I an not mistaken, the relevance of Article 3 is to the the treatment of civilians. All detainees not in uniform are non-combatants until proven by a just process otherwise.
...
"But that still leaves my second make-or-break issue: torture – that pit of shame the Cheney gang has dragged themselves, the U.S. military and the American people into."
I think this is a large part of the Bushco problem:detainees tortured, and evidence derived by torture. I suspect decent trials for most detainees, even the top al-Qaeda members, have been made impossible.
I would, as a deterrent(?) to future torture and Geneva violations, let KSM walk. Quote me. Let him walk to Peshawar, and then bomb him, but let him go.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | July 02, 2006 at 05:31 PM
Let him walk to Peshawar, and then bomb him, but let him go.
It might not even be necessary. You're UBL, and KSM shows up and says, 'OK Boss, what's up next?' You kiss him on the mouth, and say, 'You'll be going boating with some of the brothers, and they'll fill you in.'
Posted by: CharleyCarp | July 02, 2006 at 06:31 PM