Complex and tricky negotiations are taking place even as we speak for your Humble Essayist to be able to liveblog the debates - but I cannot promise anything, so here's an open thread to comment in anyway.
Still, I have my beer, my popcorn and my Robotic Right-Wing Talking Points ready and at hand, so let the debates begin! Dance, candidates! Dance for Moe Lane! Dance noooowwww.... sorry; was channelling Giblets for a moment, there. Either that, or Flying Dog beer's stronger than advertised. (Shrug) Heck, I've got tomorrow off...
UPDATE: I've retreated upstairs. Reactions"
ME: Interesting.
FIANCEE: Dear God, that was pointless.
And there you have it, America.
9:03 Here we go. I so need my own laptop. Two minutes a shot.
Obligatory FL moment. Good opening moment from Kerry.
Bush ain't smirking yet, but he will. Nice evasion of the will Kerry make us less safe if he's elected.
Second mention of t third, sorry of the ten million Afghan voters.
9:10: Come on, Senator, you didn't regret saying that at all. Not that I'm pointing fingers. Rhetorical flourishes will abound. Do NOT tell me that you're going to let Bush bring up bribed and coerced. Or your vote for the war. Or flip-flops. Yeah, you did. Doh!
90% / 200B referenced. Opium! And Osama bin Laden! The latter is going to be the ghost at this feast.
BANG! September 10th mentality.
9:12: Time for Bush's softball question. Love the guy, but blah blah blah. My fiance notes that both guys are slipping up re ObL / Hussein. Allawi reference!
Rush to War reference! Body Armor reference! Bush goes with steadfast and resolved! Kerry mentions allies. Fiance thinks that they're both funny!
9:20: Homeland security... which Kerry switches right back to Iraq. And tax cuts. Thanks for mine, George W, btw. Chemical plants?
Yes this is rambling. Rome not built in a day. Backhand from W, or smirking chimp? You make the call!
Kerry: we aren't doing enough! Bush: yes we are!
9:25: When are the troops coming home? Good question. Bush: when it's done, but he's tap-dancing a tad, methinks. Neocon red meat! Shout out to Israel and Iranian reformers!
Kerry: Help is on the way! Exit strategy! Invocation of George Herbert Walker Fucking Bush! Red meat to it's all about the oooiiillll folks.
Debate breakdown there for a moment. 87B invocation.
YESSSS! Vietnam reference before 30 minutes! Just won five bucks.
9:40 Laptop froze on me: trying to fix.
Hey, for those of us following along with no access to TV or radio, could you maybe specify who's saying what? I can't make heads or tails of what you're writing at the moment.
Posted by: Josh | September 30, 2004 at 09:38 PM
So, it's hard work and necessary work. Gotchya Mr. President.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:38 PM
The Senator is now using "misled" instead of "lying", as Jim Lehrer said.
Fresh start, gotchya Senator.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:40 PM
YESSSS! Vietnam reference before 30 minutes! Just won five bucks.
Which crazy person took that bet?
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 09:41 PM
The President is now saying that he doesn't think that the Senator misled the American people when he said in 2002, 2003 etc. etc. that Hussein was a threat.
The President is hammering away that the Senator has been inconsistent and that this inconsistency denigrates soldiers' and other nations' commitments and how will the Senator build a coalition with them after denigrating their support.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:44 PM
I'm going to use K and B so I can type faster. Please excuse the "familiarity".
K said that there were few troops from other allies in this war.
I think that B missed a HUGE opportunity to point out that AQ doesn't seem to differentiate between those with 100s of thousands of troops and those with just a few (as Spain discovered) and so why should we.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:46 PM
Switching to comments:
9:30: Vietnam... Halliburton... more red meat . Heh. Bush a little flustered, but got out bribed and coerced.
9:34: Miscalculation: tricky territory for Bush; he's calming down, though. Fiance says to both, broken records. She's got beer, too. Hey, guys: democracy takes hard work! Who knew?
9:45 \Bush and Kerry show that they _care_.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 09:47 PM
K just said that people should go to the website to see his plan for Iraq and that B's plan is "4 words, more of the same".
B keeps hitting K with changing positions etc.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:48 PM
9:50: Sparring back and forth; I'm seeing red meat but not much in the way of swing voter ... ouch. Knew that the puppet comment would come up.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 09:52 PM
K said he wants to "change the dynamics on the ground" to make things better and get the troops out.
B said that you can't change the dynamics by calling Alawi a puppet.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:52 PM
B is getting in points about how this is a fight for freedom and that's why more and more terrorists are coming into Iraq.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:54 PM
Fiancee: There are these wonderful, interesting questions, and nobody wants to answer them.
Housemate: How is this different from any debate in the last twenty years?
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 09:54 PM
B: Iraq is hard work, can't send mixed messages. THose are the talking points.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:54 PM
B: taking credit for Libya now.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:55 PM
Bush says that we'll Rue The Day!
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 09:55 PM
You know, W, now would be a great time to pull out Osama's head, just to see if Kerry would have a stroke.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 09:56 PM
K: Points out that Saddm Hussein didn't attack us and when we had OBL in Tora Bora they "outsourced" the job to Afghan warlords.
I'd guess that outsourcing jobs will be a big talking point in the econ debate.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:57 PM
B pulling OBL's head out of a bag = crionna spitting Anchor Steam all over his laptop
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:58 PM
K: President always has the right to make a pre-emptive strike in any way necessary to protect the US. But it must pass the global test.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:59 PM
9:58 Kerry comes out for preemptive war!
As long as it passes a global test. err, right.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 09:59 PM
crionna spitting Anchor Steam all over his laptop
Now that would be a waste of a good beer. Hey, did you see that article in the Chron about Anchor possibly leaving the City?
Posted by: Josh | September 30, 2004 at 09:59 PM
K: Brings up DeGaulle's Cuban missle crisis statement.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 09:59 PM
I'd guess that outsourcing jobs will be a big talking point in the econ debate.
Second time that verb has been trotted out by Kerry. The first time it was cute. Now I'm feeling tired of it already.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:00 PM
Hey, did you see that article in the Chron about Anchor possibly leaving the City?
Yup, and I'm sure that they're still dusting my threatening letter to the zoning commission for prints ;)
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:01 PM
Senator, free advice: invoking France? Not too smart.
Kyoto? How did you vote on that, again, Senator?
Bush a little fuzzy on that global test.
And now -Bush- is bringing up the ICC.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:01 PM
Where the hell is Bush going with the ICC stuff? It sounds bizarre -- do I take it this is some weird hot-button thing for the American right?
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:02 PM
B: I'm not going to make decisions that are wrong for America. Pretty strong ending.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:02 PM
North Korea and Iran. More tap-dancing from W...
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:02 PM
Yeah, but it kinda shows his ability to bring together a coalition together. Stumbling now though.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:04 PM
"Where the hell is Bush going with the ICC stuff? It sounds bizarre -- do I take it this is some weird hot-button thing for the American right?"
Massively, yes.
Moe
1). I meant it about invoking France, Mr. President.
2). Moo-lahs. Get used to hearing that Bushism, oh my droogies.
3). Damn, Kerry likes invoking Sec. Powell.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:05 PM
Ah, Darfur. Ouch (bipartisan ouch, there)! Kerry just dodged it to go back to Iran sanctions. Kerry wants to... use African Union troops? Like, warlords?
Backdoor draft reference!
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:08 PM
Ooh, "I agree it's genocide" from Bush! Surely that line will cause a few ripples in the following days.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:10 PM
My wife just noticed that the cameras are closing in tight enough on side-by-sides to even the heights of B and K.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:10 PM
The character issue softball
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:11 PM
Now -Bush- goes back to Iran. Talking about humanitarian aid. Dance for Moe Lane!
Character issues? Oh, boy...
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:12 PM
B, lots of admiration (except for K's record). Concern" changes positions. Lead in to the talking point of, yep , there it was "Mixed Messages" over and over and over again.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:12 PM
Bush sounding much better all of a sudden. Easily his best patch so far.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:12 PM
K: appreciates the personal comments. Oooh, he's "watched" B's daughters and wife. SCANDAL!!!
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:14 PM
Awww, we're going to have a personal moment, here. Kerry won't comment on Bush's character; not his job. Truer words never spoken: that's why God invented 527s.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:14 PM
K: Certainty can get you in trouble.
B: We'll shift tactics, but I won't change my core values because of politics or pressure.
K: I've never wilted in my life.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:15 PM
Fiancee: It's like watching a car crash; she doesn't want to look, but she has to.
Kerry: Buy my book! Not the one on eBay.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:17 PM
No 1 danger for the USA according to Kerry: Nuclear proliferation
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:17 PM
K: Nuclear proliferation is the most important problem facing US
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:17 PM
You know, I don't have the slightest idea what all of this looks like to people who aren't already political fanatics.
Still mispronouncing nuclear, I see.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:18 PM
Bush: Missile defence is the right way to go about securing America [against Nuclear proliferation]
What!?! *sputters helplessly in disbelief*
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:20 PM
Wow. Went to use the bathroom and it's like I'm listening to twenty minutes ago.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:20 PM
Last question: Putin and Russia. Good question. /Did/ you misjudge him, George? I don't care how strong an ally he is, btw. Or your good relationship, either. Did you misjudge him?
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:22 PM
And will Kerry go for the jugular?
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:23 PM
Kerry: "I regret what's happened in these last few months"
After the discussion touched on Beslan. Ouch. Anyone want to bet how that's going to be spun? Obviously not what he was thinking off, but that's what it will sound like after the editting.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:25 PM
No, he won't. Jeebus, you could've hammered him on Putin! And now Bush is being calm and pointing out about how they saw the same intelligence.
Kerry: he was a threat, but we didn't go to war as a last resort.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:26 PM
oops dinner time and then Giants game.
Play nice.
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:27 PM
Closing statements:
Kerry: Blah blah blah Bush did this wrong. Vote for me!
Bush: Blah blah blah Kerry says stuff to get elected! Vote for me!
Oops, hit post too quick. :)
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:28 PM
Oh, and no draft.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:28 PM
Not bad closing remarks from Kerry, but I can already tell Bush is going to cream him here.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:28 PM
He sounds sooo much better clam with a prepared speech.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:29 PM
Climbing the mighty mountain? Valley of peace? Oh dear...
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:29 PM
Hmm. Calm, rather than clam. Interesting visual, though.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:30 PM
Both candidates lost this debate. Bush is supposed to be the resolute, fearless leader - but on the radio at least he sounds nervous and terrified. Kerry can make a case for himself with facts - except when it comes to explaining what he's said previously, and then he no longer seems credible. Meanwhile, they both said the same predictable words, phrases and sentences over and over and over again, making this seem like an infomercial for creepy domestic robots.
Posted by: Jonas Cord | September 30, 2004 at 10:34 PM
Oh man, they have Frum & Blumenthal on the BBC. I hope y'all state-side have more interesting commentators.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:36 PM
BTW, thanks for keeping crionna and me company, Duane. :)
Moe
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:36 PM
Hey, my pleasure. It is 3:30am here in London. Where else am I gonna go? :)
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:40 PM
Well, after that I have a strange urge to buy a creepy domestic robot.
I'm happy to say I didn't have the stomach to listen to Stephanapolous or anyone else, even though I wanted to. They've turned into the same pigeon noises I get from product ads. . not even in my language anymore.
Posted by: sidereal | September 30, 2004 at 10:47 PM
Honestly, typing out some of the comments was the only way I could watch this thing....
Posted by: crionna | September 30, 2004 at 10:47 PM
Thanks for the play-by-play, guys. Switching back and forth between here, Tacitus, Unfogged, Mark A.R. Kleiman and (occasionally) RedState was instructive.
Posted by: Josh | September 30, 2004 at 10:51 PM
"It is 3:30am here in London. Where else am I gonna go?"
Fair enough. Hope you were following American custom and drinking heavily throughout the debate. :)
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 10:52 PM
It was tempting, but I resisted. Tomorrow is going to be painful enough :)
How are the analysts doing there? Nothing terribly interesting on the BBC here.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 10:56 PM
"How are the analysts doing there?"
Beats the heck out of me: by and large they're just either ax-grinders or teleprompter-readers anyway. :)
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 11:10 PM
Both seemed nervous. Bush seemed especially defensive, much like he does in pretty much any press conference these days. Or is it just me?
And Kerry didn't actually flub Saddam/OBL that I noticed, but he appeared to think he might have done so at one point, and unnecessarily corrected himself. Bush's mixup was pretty unfortunate, considering he was essentially responding to the charge that he had Saddam on the brain, if I recall correctly.
Posted by: Gromit | September 30, 2004 at 11:12 PM
"Or is it just me?"
Anecdotally speaking, so far nobody that I've communicated with who saw or heard this speech walked away with a different opinion. Take that as you will.
Posted by: Moe Lane | September 30, 2004 at 11:18 PM
by and large they're just either ax-grinders or teleprompter-readers anyway
So true.
My quick scuttle around online seems to show everyone thinks their guy won. Who woulda thunk it? I'm feeling tired just thinking of the inevitable endless partisan bickering to come.
Thanks for some relief from that, by the way, folks. And now I think it is good night from London.
Posted by: Duane | September 30, 2004 at 11:20 PM
The Bush-supporting bloggers I've seen think Kerry won, actually, but not by much -- but then I can't read the nutty ones.
Posted by: carpeicthus | September 30, 2004 at 11:43 PM
Actually, some of the people at NRO think Kerry won, but not by enough.
Posted by: hilzoy | October 01, 2004 at 12:07 AM
I think it is possible that Kerry won, but everyone knows that it is really hard to make precise differentiations at the bottom percentiles. This was easily the worst debate I have ever seen. They were both incredibly awful.
Posted by: Sebastian Holsclaw | October 01, 2004 at 12:24 AM
They both missed super-obvious openings. Bush could have easily slammed Kerry on the Kyoto thing. I thought of the resonse within moments--Senator Kerry was one of the 99 senators who voted against the treaty. It wasn't ever going anywhere, and it would be foolish to pretend that it was.
And why didn't Kerry follow up on the Iraq border issue? Sheesh.
Posted by: Sebastian Holsclaw | October 01, 2004 at 12:32 AM
And how did Bush fail to attack the stupid 'give nuclear fuel to Iran' idea. It is one of the most craven-looking ideas batting around on Iran, and Bush gave it a pass.
How do two guys get this far without being able to work with openings like those?
Posted by: Sebastian Holsclaw | October 01, 2004 at 12:35 AM
I do believe that Kerry presented better than Bush. But he said two very dangerous things. He played up the global test thing for defence, and that isn't going to play well. He also did that whole 'How can we ask other countries to abstain from getting nukes when we are researching them' thing. Sorry pal, but the answer for most of America is "because we are America and they aren't". It may not be fair, but lots of people feel that way.
Anyway, awful debate in general. Tone-wise Kerry didn't look bad. But he said some things that might not play well with the so-called swing voters.
The discussions around here make me wonder if politically active people can really judge how debates effect the general electorate. Is it possible that we are too involved to really understand how debates look to people who don't live and breathe politics?
Posted by: Sebastian Holsclaw | October 01, 2004 at 12:41 AM
The discussions around here make me wonder if politically active people can really judge how debates effect the general electorate. Is it possible that we are too involved to really understand how debates look to people who don't live and breathe politics?
Gosh, you think?
Posted by: Josh | October 01, 2004 at 01:24 AM