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January 14, 2004

Comments

At this point I don't think he'll win the nomination. I think it's partly because of his own flaws, but largely because a solid month of unfair attacks from 9 directions and unfair press coverage. The past month has harmed my image of Dean, but it's done a great deal more harm to my image of the "leadership", if it can be called such a name, of the Democratic party and my hope that it will ever get it's s**t together.

Of course even if he wins he's been done real damage, and I now have no hope of everyone actively supporting him.

The whole thing makes me ill, which is why I've stopped blogging about it. I will be in New Hampshire the 27th though, you can bet on that.

The whole thing makes me ill, which is why I've stopped blogging about it. I will be in New Hampshire the 27th though, you can bet on that.

You'll have to give us a report when you get back.

Dean might get a bounce from Iowa, if he wins there, and of course, should that happen, the Dean camp will play it up to the max. Dean tried to make his nomination look inevitable with the Gore endorsement, and they will try to do that again with an IA win; make people feel it is futile to try to stop him. The same cycle might repeat in NH, a close win, followed by a lot of hype. If he doesn't get his comeuppance in IA or NH, then it will be SC. As your links indicate, though, he could lose IA in a stunner.

My ideal scenario would be Dean imploding, and Clark getting the nomination with a unified Dem party behind him.

My fear is that Dean implodes, and we have the ugliest summer in Dem politics since 1968. Kerry and Gebhardt and Lieberman would take the battle onto the convention floor. On the thirteenth vote, Hilary revokes her pledge for the good of the country....

Ughh. Let's hope for the ideal scenario. Clark in '04 & '08, Hillary in '12 & '16. That should be enough years of control to undo much of the Republican damage.

I don't know if Dean has peaked. He has made an impressive run, and I still would not count him out. He's still the front-runner in Iowa and NH.

But, these remarks, quoted by AP, don't help.

"I think General Clark is a good guy, but I truly believe he's a Republican. I do. Harry Truman once said if you run a Republican against a Republican, the Republican's going to win every time," Dean said.

"Look, I don't mean offense to Gen. Clark. He is a good guy. And I don't mind that he voted for Nixon and Reagan. That was a long time ago," Dean said. "What bothers me is he went out and raised money for the Republican Party and said great things about Dick Cheney (news - web sites), Donald Rumsfeld and George Bush."

This is pure red meat to the left-wing of the Dem party and completely estranges him from the center.

This is pure red meat to the left-wing of the Dem party and completely estranges him from the center.

I agree completely, Navy Davy. Dean's being forced further to the margin in an attempt to energize the left against the center. It's a good strategy for an insurgent. It's not so good for the front runner. (File under: Dean hasn't adapted his tactics to the new reality.)

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