par japonicus liberal
I've been working on the handbook for a conference and have just finished it, barring any last minute changes, so I've not been able to really do anything else. I really don't want to post over the good Doctor's fascinating thoughts about alchemy and the Calico project (please check them out below), but I wanted to crack open a thread on the Macron victory, and would especially love to hear more about this.
Meanwhile, Wikileaks jumped on the document dump, but didn’t seem to be familiar with the material in it. Responding to the Macron statement that some of the items were bogus, Wikileaks* tweeted, “We have not yet discovered fakes in #MacronLeaks & we are very skeptical that the Macron campaign is faster than us.”
Ah, but there’s the rub. As reported by The Daily Beast, part of the Macron campaign strategy against Fancy Bear (also known as Pawn Storm and Apt28) was to sign on to the phishing pages and plant bogus information.
“You can flood these [phishing] addresses with multiple passwords and log-ins, true ones, false ones, so the people behind them use up a lot of time trying to figure them out,” Mounir Mahjoubi, the head of Macron’s digital team, told The Daily Beast for its earlier article on this subject.
Macron is, in some ways, an incredibly fragile vessel to carry the hopes of people like me, this Atlantic article gives some background for those who haven't been following it. An LGM (where I got the first article) commentor points out that 25% of the French ballots were blank (but see the update below), and I understand the feeling that this is "why the political self-righteousness and ignorance of large sections of the left explains much about why Donald Trump and Theresa May have won." On the other hand, I find it refreshing that there was at least an option for people on the left to engage in the process and essentially say to Macron 'we are here', though that is a very quick take and I'd be interested to hear what the unmatched wash of the blog have to say.
Vas y, mon amis!
*Wikileaks, ça me fait chier...
After it was noted that the blank ballot count was potentially disinformation, sanbikinoraion noted the following:
Here's the official statistics:
I think the "24.66%" abstaining is actually the proportion of people registered to vote who did not show up at the polling booth. It is the lower figures of "blancs" (6.5% of those registered or 8.5% of those who showed up) which express the true extent of protest voting, combined with the votes considered "nul" (2.2% / 3.1%), which would be any other "spoiled ballot" (which could be voter confusion or protest).
That *is* a significant increase on the rate of blanc/nul ballots from 2012, which recorded 4.6% / 5.8% -- but the Hollande / Sarkozy election was considerably closer, which tends to reduce protest voting. Wikipedia lists the spoilt votes for 2007 as 4.2%, and claims that's the same as 2002 and 1995.
On that basis, the number of spoilt ballots in this election was up significantly, but it was NOWHERE NEAR 25%.
Thanks for the update and the plea to make internet numbers more rather than less accurate