by Doctor Science
A few days ago media guru Dan Pfeiffer tweeted:
Trump might be the most predictable human on earth https://t.co/GmmtMlM4j6
— Dan Pfeiffer (@danpfeiffer) February 6, 2017
So-called President* Trump is also easily influenced (especially by the last person he spoke to), and is, of course, probably the most influential person in the world.
Everyone wants to hack Trump's brain. Everyone always wants to influence influential public figures -- let me tell you about Louis XIV! -- but with Trump the process has gone to a much higher level than we've seen with any other public figure, maybe ever, for a couple of reasons.
First of all, since his Inauguration Trump has had a lonely yet public life. Neither his wife nor his children are living with him, and he seems to spend a lot of his time in the evenings and early mornings watching TV while phoning and/or tweeting.
Because he often tweets in response to what he sees on TV, we know what he watches. For instance, Pfeiffer's tweet above was in response to this tweetfrom NBC News editor Brad Jaffy:
This MJoe segment on Bannon (6:09 a.m.) may have been what set off Trump's “I call my own shots” tweet (7:07 a.m.) https://t.co/DxPddbuWMm
— Bradd Jaffy (@BraddJaffy) February 6, 2017
Since Trump tweets in response to things he sees on "Morning Joe, [t]he ad rates for "Morning Joe" have more than doubled post-election, according to one veteran media buyer," Politico reported. "One prominent D.C. consultant said some of his clients, including a big bank and major pharmaceutical company, were negotiating this week to buy ads on "O'Reilly" and "Morning Joe" because they knew they had a good chance of reaching the president."
We talk a lot about "this is not normal" these days, but this is beyond not-normal, we're into the realm of the surreal.
Today the President of the United States isn't just the Commander-in-Chief, he's the Demographic-in-Chief, with people and firms competing for his attention by advertising on his favorite shows, hoping for mentions on his twitter.
That people will try to influence the President is perfectly natural and to be expected, but one of the functions of his staff (and family) is normally to be both buffer and filter: to screen out extraneous demands, but to let in worthwhile information and influences so the President can make good decisions.
By watching so much TV, Trump has essentially made FoxNews, MSNBC, and CNN part of his staff, letting them determine what gets through his filters. And not just their programming, their ads! -- or at least, that's what the people buying those ads think.
In a wacky, 2017 way, this *is* a more transparent approach to money in Washington. The public can see who buys time on "Morning Joe" or "The O'Reilly Show" and what they're saying, and can thus see who's trying to influence Trump in what direction. And in fact I think some media or communications student should start a spreadsheet right now, it might turn out to be really useful.
I can't find it now, but I recall that during the transition I saw a story saying that Kellyanne Conway was on TV so much not just to promote Trump's policys, but to influence them: that Trump, seeing her on TV, would be influenced by her views and presentation. That he would believe her and be swayed by her, because he saw her on TV. Even though he sent her there. At the time I thought it was kind of ridiculous, and even if true was sure to be an artifact of the transition, but now I see it as part of a pattern.
As I was finishing up the edits on this post, Alexandrea Erin alerted me to a Politico article saying the same thing:
...but no one is more cognizant of the fact that their job is performing for one man or more comfortable with it than is Conway. pic.twitter.com/2UCBCuGvvv
— Alexandra Erin (@alexandraerin) February 12, 2017
Those of who are opposed to Trump are also trying to hack his brain, though mostly by different methods because we have different goals.
Nice, well-intentioned people have tried to persuade those of us in #TheResistance that all our protesting isn't going to be effective the way we're doing it. But one unspoken yet serious goal of the protests, especially the ones that follow Trump himself wherever he goes, is ... well. To help Mike Pence.
I loathe Mike Pence, I think he'd be a terrible President. But he'd be a terrible President in a standard Republican mold, or a slightly exaggerated version thereof. I think of this as the "Marty metric", after one of our resident conservative commenters who pointed it out as a way to decide what to freak out about in the opposite party. It's very probable that tens of thousands of Americans would needlessly die on Pence's watch, but that would be true of any Republican who succeeded in gutting the ACA or the Clean Air & Water Acts.
Trump is NOT a standard Republican. He has already done significant damage to the fabric of international relations, and the longer he's around the more he threatens major peacekeeping institutions like NATO. I truly believe *millions* of lives are at risk, if Russia invades the Baltics or the Ukraine, or if Pakistan and India start lobbing nukes at each other (may heaven forfend!).
The decision to go for either impeachment or the 25th Amendment is essentially political, and must be made by Republicans. One of the reasons we protest Trump and mock him at every turn is to make him feel unhappy and stressed, so that he's more likely to say or do something in public that Pence and his colleagues can use as ammunition.
Yeah, what I mean is pushing Trump to having a physical or mental breakdown.
"Propane Jane" is a psychiatrist in Texas. When she looks at Donald Trump,
I find myself confronted with public behavioral disturbances that more closely resemble the DSM than they do politics as usual. I've written extensively about the political aspects of Trump's many disqualifying attributes, from his peddling in the privileged politics of personal insult, to his disingenuous minority outreach, and his exploitation of the poorly informed; but now it's time that we discuss his mental health.I'm not here to formally diagnose him from afar, but I'd be lying if I said I wasn't beginning to feel somewhat derelict watching an emergency unfold without meaningful, life-saving intervention taking place. I make my living treating acute and sub-acute mental and behavioral health emergencies, which means people don't end up on my radar unless they've comported themselves in ways that are generally determined to be unstable and unsafe. In some cases it's florid psychosis, dementia, or mania, and in others it's severe depression and suicidality, or unbridled poly substance abuse or personality disorder. No matter the etiology, my duty is to determine if the mental status changes in question represent a lack of stability and/or portend a heightened risk to individual or public safety.
When I hear and see Donald Trump, I hear and see an emergency.
In a later tweetstorm:
As a psychiatrist, my SPECIFIC concerns w/Trump are 1) clinically significant character pathology 2) readily apparent cognitive impairment.Following Propane Jane (a must if you're on Twitter, truthbombs dropped daily), I've seen many people point out similarities between Trump's behavior and that of their relatives with Alzheimer's. (Also ADD, which is pretty likely but not really a problem on the same level.)His antisocial narcissism is a lost cause and should've disqualified him from jump but antisocial narcissists have the right to vote too.
Beyond that he won't be the first antisocial narcissist to be POTUS. The kicker here is that he's also elderly AND cognitively impaired.
I repeat, the overarching issue here is Trump is unmistakably disinhibited, incoherent, and erratic. No matter the etiology, he's UNFIT.
As we can all tell by looking, "President of the United States" is an extremely stressful job that tends to age a person hard. The only President of my conscious lifetime who didn't seem to be ground down by the Presidency was Ronald Reagan, and in retrospect I wonder if this was an early symptom of his Alzheimer's.
Congressman and civil rights hero John Lewis boycotted Trump's Inauguration, and then attended the Women's March in Atlanta. The following Monday, reporter Devon Maloney tweeted:
John Lewis just walked through Terminal 2 at DCA followed by what can only be called a rolling tidal wave of standing ovations.
— Devon Maloney (@dynamofire) January 23, 2017
CNN collected various videos.
I am certain that this is what Trump expected the Presidency to be like: "a rolling tidal wave of standing ovations". Instead, as a recent Politico article reports: "his mood has careened between surprise and anger as he's faced the predictable realities of governing". And this is coming from his "allies".
So, we've got an unprepared and mentally unstable person, doing one of the most significant and stressful jobs in the world. I think a *lot* of us are doing our best to subject Trump to psychological stress, not out of sadism or payback (or at least not only that). We want him to feel more stress so he'll behave even more erratically, so his mental health will deteriorate faster and more publically, so Pence and Congress will make their move sooner.
I admit, it's a horrible thing to want, especially when I think of it as someone who has long-standing mental illness. But nuclear war (or even conventional war!) is a much worse thing, and while Trump's mental deterioration probably can't be prevented--as Propane Jane says, he's a man too hated to be helped--we have time to drag the world back from the nightmare brink. Millions of lives could be at stake.
* If he can call a judge who was unanimous approved by the US Senate "so-called", I can sure call someone who got 3 million fewer popular votes a so-called president.
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2017/02/nyt-trump-team-had-repeated-contacts-russian-intelligence-during-presidential-cam
Posted by: Countme-In | February 14, 2017 at 10:06 PM
The thing with Flynn, from what little I know, is that he was actually a freaking kick-ass hands-on intelligence officer. But utterly lacking in either temperament or personal skill set for an executive or administrative role.
It is, IMO, in many ways a shame that he's going to end his career this way.
Posted by: russell | February 14, 2017 at 10:12 PM
... a freaking kick-ass hands-on intelligence officer ...
Way back in the last millennium, when Doonesbury was in its 1st or 2nd year, it had a story line in which B.D., the star quarterback, fired by patriotism over the Vietnam war, enlists in ROTC. In one particular strip, we are at the ROTC boot camp. The company commander is talking to his subordinate; in the background, the trainees are stabbing at hanging sandbags with their bayonets.
PANEL 1: (background as above)
The commander says "Sergeant, the new recruits are about what we expected. Uninspired, but willing to do as they're told."
PANEL 2: (similar background)
Commander and sargeant silent.
PANEL 3: (similar background)
Commander says, "But sergeant, this man worries me."
PANEL 4:
B.D. is stomping on a fallen sandbag and plunging his bayonet into it, yelling "Aiee!! Kill! KILL!!"
Maybe this snippet from my dusty attic of a memory has something to do with soldiers like Flynn, and maybe it doesn't.
--TP
Posted by: Tony P. | February 14, 2017 at 11:01 PM
NYTimes:
Phone records and intercepted calls show that members of Donald J. Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign and other Trump associates had repeated contacts with senior Russian intelligence officials in the year before the election, according to four current and former American officials.
Posted by: Ugh | February 14, 2017 at 11:01 PM
GEN McAffrey was on my local radio talking about Flynn. McAffrey said Flynn was the best intel officer he ever knew, but his behavior since being fired was of someone looking for revenge. The 'lock her up' chants were unprecedented for a military officer.
He also said that now Flynn is a private citizen with no executive privilege once again, and feeling slighted, he may talk. And his 'scape goat' comment might show he is ready to defend himself.
Posted by: jrudkis | February 14, 2017 at 11:11 PM
B.D. is stomping on a fallen sandbag and plunging his bayonet into it, yelling "Aiee!! Kill! KILL!!"
Echoing Alice's Restaurant, minus the four part harmony. :-)
Posted by: JanieM | February 14, 2017 at 11:29 PM
Oh wait, it was five-part harmony.....
Posted by: JanieM | February 14, 2017 at 11:31 PM
Is war about to,break out between the Trump deadenders and the Republican 'establishment' ?
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/02/the-nationalist-right-is-coming-for-priebus/516744/
Posted by: Nigel | February 14, 2017 at 11:49 PM
War has been going on for quite a while. It's just starting to run up the body count.
Posted by: wj | February 15, 2017 at 12:00 AM
"Paul said that Republicans will "never even get started" with major policy changes like repealing Obamacare if they are focused on investigating their colleagues."
No sh*t. I think most of us got there ahead of him.
This answers McTX's challenge a few days ago regarding whether republicans are just like trump.
Yes, they are. At the very least symbiotic. Like two serial killers in one city who think it's fun to copy cat, just for the fun of it.
Sadists.
Not that McTx is either trump or a republican.
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 01:03 AM
With 8x10 glossy pictures.....
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 06:33 AM
Secret Service Director Clancy has decided to retire.
Over to you, Count!
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 06:41 AM
Meanwhile, Russia has an intel ship trawling off the coast of DE, they're deploying cruise missiles in violation of treaty obligations, American ships in the Bosphorus report unwelcome approaches from Russian aircraft, and Putin has responded to Trump's call for the Crimea to be returned to the Ukraine with a yawn.
I guess we showed them!
A clue to world leaders, most notably our own: Putin doesn't have friends. If you think you're making a deal with him, but you can't figure out who's getting screwed, it's you.
It's about time for a candid disclosure of Trump's financial position. It'd be good for us to know who owns him, and how much. And yes, that word is "owns" not "owes", it wasn't a typo.
This could actually be as bad as it smells. Which would be a truly and profoundly bad thing, for all of us.
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 07:27 AM
Nothing to see here.
Really, this isn't an issue? WTF?
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 07:43 AM
russell, what did you intend your last link to be? It goes to Associated Press map of the US listing all regional papers in all states - am I missing something?
Posted by: Girl from the North Country | February 15, 2017 at 08:07 AM
Someone on my twitter feed asked whether it is possible to be both worried about Russia but also about a government (or at least the current new cycle and thus effectively the government) dominated by vague anonymous leaks?
The GOP Congress, and Paul Ryan in particular, continues to diminish themselves. They need to go down with the ship.
Posted by: Ugh | February 15, 2017 at 08:15 AM
I think I had a post, or at least a comment, back in the day about the corporate form, and the possibility of revoking corporate charters for company malfeasance.
From the WaPo:
A liberal advocacy group is urging New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman, already a foe of President Trump, to investigate and consider revoking Trump’s business charter in New York for business practices that it argues have run afoul of state law.
In the immortal words of Michael Ray Richardson, "this ship be sinkin'"
Posted by: Ugh | February 15, 2017 at 08:27 AM
Wah, you signed up for this Mike.
Posted by: Ugh | February 15, 2017 at 09:09 AM
last link shoulda been this
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 09:18 AM
"Meanwhile, Russia has an intel ship trawling off the coast of DE, they're deploying cruise missiles in violation of treaty obligations, American ships in the Bosphorus report unwelcome approaches from Russian aircraft, and Putin has responded to Trump's call for the Crimea to be returned to the Ukraine with a yawn"
I take it those "unwelcome approaches" are only slightly akin to the variety trump doles out on a pass through a beauty pageant dressing room. Let Putin's fingers do the walking for trump through a pussy riot.
I said rightchere a few weeks ago that Putin would respond to every domestic resistance, push-back and endangerment of the regime he helped engineer/install in Washington DC via the corrupted apparatus of the republican party with threatening military moves around the globe.
Our free press, the one not aligned with the Russian/Republican junta, and the checks and balances of our governmental institutions are messing with Putin's bought and paid for assets in Washington.
Putin sits at his desk and asks the air in front of him the same question we do: "We're only 26 days in and already we're being f*cked with?"
Any attempt to impeach will be met with a mushroom-shaped, plutonium-scented Valentine's Day card from "your friend Vlad".
Any further attempt to forestall deportations and border brutality will be met with a trump/bannon-FBI-designed terror attack on American soil, followed shortly thereafter by the trump/bannon/republican howling imposition of draconian martial measures accompanied by the swift moves to toss some chunks of red meat into the corner ... eradicating Obamacare without replacement and halving taxes ... to placate the few remaining republicans who aren't just like trump but are ravenous nonetheless.
What did we think that bacio della morte smooch trump gave comey the other week was exactly?
John McCain, who just days ago was praising filth Flynn with the same voice he found to elevate Sarah Death Panel to head up the Insane Clown Posse he calls a political party a few years ago, had better be on the lookout for overcoated men on street corners bearing dipped umbrellas and the greeting "Skies are blue, but not for you, John."
Bannon holds that the Vietcong should have skipped the tiger cages and moved directly to real tigers for their prisoner of war playthings.
I'll be checking the board today to learn if the 10x discount accorded Countme's ravings by certain parties has closed the gap between bid and ask a fair bit.
The market becomes more liquid by the day.
Marty, jump in your dinghy and row out to that Russian trawler erumpent with listening electronics and report back to us that there is nothing to see there, they are just following the cod catch, such at it is, a little farther south.
Let me help. They were there in 2015 as well as a threat to the nigger in the White House. Except now the intelligence they glean is shared with trump to triangulate their mutual interests and domestic enemy movements.
Putin's back channel memo's to trump about what's cooking in the CIA deep state are limited to one page and in crayon for easy comprehension.
Thanks Russell for correcting that link. Now we know what trump meant the other day when he told China that he looked forward to "constructive" engagement with them.
Also, reflect on the revocation the other week (some wheat among the chaff) by trump of obama's order forbidding corporate bribery and payoffs to governments.
Chinese leadership found out trump's and the republican party's corrupt number and proceeeded directly to the betting window that is now America's point-of-sale to the world.
The republican Party owns all of this, like Davy Jones hugs his anchor.
Swim with the fishes while you make America full of sh*t again.
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 09:55 AM
I can only imagine what certain people (*clears throat*) would be saying if this kind of sh1t were happening under Obama.
Posted by: hairshirthedonist | February 15, 2017 at 10:05 AM
What's the frequency, Breitbart?
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2017/02/the-spigot-of-lies.html
Here's a little vision test for Rand Paul and company. Which one of these is worse news for his filthy ilk?
This?
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2017/02/uninsured-population-holding-steady-about-10
Or ... this?
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2017/02/nyt-trump-team-had-repeated-contacts-russian-intelligence-during-presidential-cam
Let's try it again, like the lens vision test an optometrist might give his patient seeking a little more clarity:
This?
or ... This?
Would you prefer a blindfold?
Ok, now .. This? Or .... This?
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 10:18 AM
Meanwhile, Assange activates his twitter account and tweets 2 hours ago:
Wikileaks yesterday:
followed 3 hours ago, presumably to cover their partiality, with this, from The Intercept:
Posted by: Girl from the North Country | February 15, 2017 at 10:20 AM
So, the Kremlin and trump have reactivated the Assange connection?
I wonder if these hackers and alt-media agents, who have been conspicuously silent since the election (a bit of Kismet, don't we think?), will be reactivated from their safe houses in Eastern Europe, Russia, and suburban Republican basements throughout the United States and called to serve their masters again:
http://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a49791/russian-dnc-emails-hacked/
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 10:33 AM
http://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/news/a53159/trump-campaign-russia-communicate/
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 10:45 AM
I guess it's about time Anthony Weiner's dick is again dangled in front of the deplorable Republican base who are experiencing a little queasiness and might require some re-mesmerizing.
When all else fails, Kelly Ann Conningtower's husband can rifle through the alleged Democratic dic pics in his sock drawer and reinvigorate the hypnotized.
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 10:59 AM
they are just following the cod catch, such at it is, a little farther south.
Cod fisheries, such as they are, are actually a little further north these days. Cod like cold water, that's where the cold water is now.
The general collapse of the Grand Banks cod fishery represents the loss of a commons that sustained livelihoods throughout New England and the maritimes for centuries. Now, of course, many if not most of those folks are looking for other work. Some adapt by going after other sea species, some by finding other lines of work altogether.
Those changes are enforced by "the government", in various forms and at various levels. It sucks, for sure, for the folks that have to deal with it. But, they deal with it. Not, as seems to be popular in other parts of the country, by threatening to kill the folks who are tasked with enforcing the management of a finite common resource, but by figuring it the hell out, one way or another.
Note that the folks I'm talking about haven't been pursuing their traditional livelihoods for 100 years, or three generations, but in some cases for three or four centuries.
Adapt or die. We're Yankees, we have ingenuity. We're not going to die.
Same story with our mill towns and manufacturing base. After all of that stuff left in favor of the cheap labor in The Heartland, we found other uses for the skill sets and infrastructure.
Oh, your bosses figured out they could hire somebody cheaper somewhere else? Welcome to our world, circa 50 years ago.
In any case, we figured it out. Took a while, but we got there.
Adapt or die. No use crying about it. Even less use waving your gun around and trying to figure out who to shoot to make it stop.
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 11:02 AM
Nice alliance you have there NATO, be a shame if something happened to it.
Posted by: Ugh | February 15, 2017 at 11:04 AM
Got milk?
https://mic.com/articles/168188/milk-nazis-white-supremacists-creamy-pseudo-science-trump-shia-labeouf#.1swCdpZTl
Nicked from LGM.
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 11:12 AM
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/2/15/1633990/-Jefferson-Beauregard-Sessions-III-ensures-Justice-Department-won-t-investigate-Russia-connection
See you down the trail, Rowdy Sally Yates.
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 11:18 AM
Nice alliance you have there NATO, be a shame if something happened to it.
Ugh, a reference to the Piranha brothers of blessed memory? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mBL3XB-PhE8
No, my mistake, it was Army Protection Racket (the relevant point starts at about 1.31):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pm5mtpPtW1Q
How many tanks you got Colonel?
Things break Colonel...
Posted by: Girl from the North Country | February 15, 2017 at 11:33 AM
From the Count's link:
several milk-based poems about white pride.
I'm a 60 year old guy. I'm not in terrible shape, I'm not in great shape.
I feel fairly comfortable saying that, if it comes down to it, even an army of old geezers like me have a pretty good shot against these guys.
These are not the Nazis that killed my uncle in France. I don't have a gun, but I have a slingshot. I think the odds are on my side.
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 11:33 AM
You know all that sh*t peddled by Pat Buchanan et al over at The American Constipated regarding Putin's allegiance to the Christian traditionalists in Russia, which conservatives identify (Identity politics) with?
Well, it seems his priestly class is showing American Evangelicals how to behave against their liberal enemies:
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2017/02/15/priests-putin-and-a-suitcase-of-cyanide.html?via=newsletter&source=DDAfternoon
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 11:33 AM
Is the nationalist far right turning on the establishment for not being sufficiently loyal to the Golden Child, or is the internationalist alt-right ramping up their war against the establishment for this treacherous undermining of the interests of Christendom as articulated by the Defender of the Faith in Moscow? Deus Vult, y'all.
Posted by: Nombrilisme Vide | February 15, 2017 at 11:45 AM
From Ugh's link about Pence and the Flynn mess:
The thing is, it appears that the real problem, both for Pence and others, is that there is no loop to be in. Just a lot of semi-random flailing around going on.Posted by: wj | February 15, 2017 at 12:08 PM
"These are not the Nazis that killed my uncle in France."
True. These are playground Comanches in drag with a laugh track.
That said, I'm baking rocks and metal shards into my cream pies and outfitting them with fuses just to be on the safe side.
Remember, Cliven Bundy is now remaking public lands policy from his jail cell via his agents in Congress and the White House.
Violence pays.
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 12:24 PM
May the loop become a noose for the loopy.
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 12:26 PM
Count, how did you miss this one?
http://www.eastbaytimes.com/2017/02/15/cartoons-michael-flynn-resigns-amid-russian-coverup/
Posted by: wj | February 15, 2017 at 12:28 PM
I contain discounted multitudes.
Those were great, wj.
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 12:32 PM
Voting Rights Act? We don't need no stinking Voting Rights Act!
Posted by: Ugh | February 15, 2017 at 12:58 PM
It's only Wednesday, and I already need a break from me:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pYupSHWEJxA
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 01:40 PM
http://www.cnn.com/2017/02/15/politics/top-senate-republicans-urge-white-house-to-withdraw-puzder-nomination/
Posted by: hairshirthedonist | February 15, 2017 at 01:55 PM
Senate Republicans push for answers on Trump team's Russia ties
Posted by: hairshirthedonist | February 15, 2017 at 04:06 PM
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2017/02/trump-israel-whatevs
In one movie or another, or maybe all of them, Joe Pesci at some point asks someone "How the f*ck should I know? Get outta here! Get the f*ck away from me!"
It reminds of this quote from George Carlin:
“You know who I pray to? Joe Pesci. Two reasons: First of all, I think he's a good actor, okay? To me, that counts. Second, he looks like a guy who can get things done. Joe Pesci doesn't fuck around. In fact, Joe Pesci came through on a couple of things that God was having trouble with.”
Posted by: Countme-In | February 15, 2017 at 04:19 PM
How to be a Republican administration and great for business.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/gulliver/2017/02/i-m-banned
Unless the business is related to tourism. (Wonder if Trump realizes it could impact his income. That will get a change made quick....)
Posted by: wj | February 15, 2017 at 04:42 PM
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-puzder-republicans-idUSKBN15U2EV
Posted by: Nombrilisme Vide | February 15, 2017 at 04:44 PM
I am happy to see Flynn go, but not because of the Russia thing, because I am suspicious of the mainstream hyperventilating about Russia, but because he was a freaking Islamophobe pushing for war with Iran.
Whatever his own motives, I think Assange is right that there is a power struggle going on between the intelligence community ( the phrase makes me think of Barney Fife waterboarding someone while Andy and Aunt Bee sit on the porch drinking lemonade) and the Trump loonies and I want them to destroy each other. Won't happen. Someone will win. Too bad.
This post sums it up for me. I don't always agree with the stuff at Consortiumnews, but I liked this piece.
https://consortiumnews.com/2017/02/15/progressives-pile-on-flynns-ouster/
Posted by: Donald | February 15, 2017 at 04:44 PM
As far as Assange and his motives go, I will point back to something Ugh said earlier: "Trump & Co. are giving CIA-bashing a bad name." Assange has plenty of reasons (regardless of whether you think they're justified) to hold a grudge against American intelligence w/o needing to be a Russian cat's paw. He may be, he may not be - but not everything in the world is about us, and it's incredibly myopic and self-absorbed to insist that actions affecting us - especially those carried out by foreign nationals - can only be motivated by supporting or opposing "our team"...
Posted by: Nombrilisme Vide | February 15, 2017 at 04:55 PM
So I was just giving a close re-read to the 25th Amendment, and would appreciate any information those of you with a law background could provide about the conflict resolution procedure in Section 4.
The VP and cabinet notify Congress the President is unable to discharge duties; the President then notifies Congress there is no disability; the VP and cabinet reply within four days there is disability. Congress has 21 days to decide the issue, a 2/3 vote of each house means the VP continues as Acting President.
What is not clear to me is "the VP continues as Acting President" for how long? The section does not specify for the remainder of the term, or that the President has been removed from office as in the case of impeachment. It also doesn't specify any process after the Congressional vote for the President to regain/resume duties of office.
I know it's kind of absurd, but could the President then notify Congress of no disability, and restart this process ad infinitum? Presumably impeachment would follow as an expedient. Or in another scenario, a mid-term election is held after invocation of this provision; does the new Congress have the authority to revisit the issue? There is also no mechanism described for the VP/Acting President and cabinet to notify Congress that "(s)he's all better" and everyone reverts to their elected office.
Thanks in advance for any thoughts or clarifications.
Posted by: Priest | February 15, 2017 at 05:47 PM
This post sums it up for me
I don't know who's supposed to be progressive and who's not, nor do I know if I get to be in that club or not.
I'm glad Flynn's out for all of the reasons named in the piece. He's an anti-Islamic obsessive, would probably be pushing to get us into war with Iran, is a conspiracy theory nut, isn't a good administrator or executive, and talks to other countries that we are in the process of levying sanctions on to let them know they don't have to take it seriously.
All of the above.
I'm also more than concerned about the apparent contacts between people in Trump's circle and the Russians, throughout the entire campaign period. You don't have to be a war-monger to recognize that Putin's interests and ours do not align, that he is not our friend, and that any alliances or agreements we make with him should be handled as if we were dealing with a freaking scorpion.
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 05:49 PM
You don't have to be a war-monger to recognize that Putin's interests and ours do not align
It shouldn't need saying, but probably does. It isn't, in principle, just Putin. Any foreign country which attempts to interfere (especially covertly) in our elections is a serious problem.
That isn't to say that they cannot have opinions. And feel entirely free to tell us what their opinion is. It's doing anything, beyond telling us what they think, that would be a problem.
Posted by: wj | February 15, 2017 at 06:13 PM
I guess I don't quite get the outrage over interference in our election and I am perfectly serious. They shouldn't do it, but Americans complaining about it given what we do is just funny. It was on the cover of Time how we interfered in Russia's elections twenty years ago. Clinton in a noneikileaks released tape with a local ny paper casually said we should have made sure Hamas lost in the elections there years ago. We also have Americans interfering in Israeli politics. That of course cuts both ways, as is befitting the 51st state.
Interfering in elections. Overseas is an American pastime and it is the least of the things we do. We can try to stop interference in ours, but moral outrage is absurd.
And anyway, why is Russian interference so bad given what the Saudis get us to do without daily headlines and constant liberal denunciations? Why focus on a hypothetical terrible future when a very real terrible present started two years ago and is likely to be made worse by Trump. If you are worried about what horrible things we might see because of some unholy alliance with a repressive regime, well...
http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/trump-empowering-saudi-destruction-yemen-article-1.2971292
Posted by: Donald | February 15, 2017 at 06:39 PM
And the other Consirtiumnews piece today. The article is a bit more evenhanded than the title.
https://consortiumnews.com/2017/02/15/a-dangerous-hysteria-on-russia/
Posted by: Donald | February 15, 2017 at 06:45 PM
I guess I don't quite get the outrage over interference in our election and I am perfectly serious.
I'm not particularly outraged that they did their best to mess with the election.
I would like to know, and I believe we all deserve to know, what financial connections Trump has with Russia. Either via sovereign wealth, or via Putin personally, or via any of the kleptocrats in his circle.
I would like to know, and I believe we all deserve to know, what contacts Trump or people in circle had with Putin or anyone within several arms' reaches of Putin during the course of the campaign.
And I generally don't like Putin or Russia under Putin, and don't think we should have anything to do with them above and beyond what is necessary for basic international stability.
I'm sure other countries have tried to mess with our election, I'm sure some have had some success, and it's not completely clear to me what the Russian responsibility for hacking was or how consequential it was for the election.
I'd say Comey made a much bigger dent than revelations about the DNC and John Podesta's pizza preferences.
Putin is an anti-democratic authoritarian thug, and he is interested in expanding the sphere of his anti-democratic authoritarian thuggery.
If Trump or any of his crew are caught up in that, we deserve to be aware of it, and frankly any and everyone involved should be shown the door.
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 06:50 PM
Shorter me:
It would neither surprise nor shock me to learn that Putin and the Russians sought to influence our election.
I would find it beyond unacceptable to learn that folks involved in running for public office were willing participants in that effort.
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 06:52 PM
I was just going to say something along the lines of Shorter russell, but he beat me to it, and said it better to boot.
It's probably not that useful to get outraged over Russians (or anyone) trying to interfere with the integrity of our elections.
Actively pushing back against Americans who helped them, or who interfered all on their own, is far from useless. It's hard to know in all this mess where one might get the most leverage for one's daily energy and $ budget, but voter rights and fair elections seems like a top candidate to me.
Posted by: JanieM | February 15, 2017 at 06:59 PM
I wouldn't say I'm outraged so much as irritated by Russia's (apparent) actions. I'll save my outrage for any Americans (candidates or otherwise) who were willing participants in those efforts.
I do wonder why you seem to think no American should be upset about what other countries try to do to us. It's not like most of us had any part in whatever the American government has done to others. (Or are you holding yourself personally responsible for what our government has done in Yemen, just because you are a citizen? Didn't think so.)
Posted by: wj | February 15, 2017 at 07:06 PM
"I'll save my outrage for any Americans (candidates or otherwise) who were willing participants in those efforts."
I completely agree with wj on this.
Other countries will do what they do. Candidates in the US that conspire with other countries to get elected, including felonious hacking of their opposition, is unacceptable in the extreme.
Yes, someone please hack Trump's brain. But (pro tip) make sure the ax is sharp.
Posted by: Snarki, child of Loki | February 15, 2017 at 07:29 PM
And wear gloves. (If not a hazmat suit.)
Posted by: wj | February 15, 2017 at 07:53 PM
If some Trump campaign person or Trump himself broke the law with respect to Russia or in any other way then we should know about it. We should know about it even if there wa some sort of legal contact, though at that point I also want to know all about all the interference from every country. I also want all the hyperventilating people who worry about the threat to our democracy if they feel our actions are a threat to other people in ways that go beyond stealing embarrassing material and leaking it. We seem awfully damn fragile if the wikileaks posts are a threat to our democracy.
But why the outrage over Trump's friendliness with Russia as opposed to any other regime with a bad human rights record, especially when people say they are concerned it will involve us in some sort of horrible behavior with our new best bud Putin? Quite possibly it will, as it has already happened with other countries. Right now it is the Saudis and Trump seems likely to make a horrible situation even worse. But that's a hard case for Democrats to argue.
The NYT editors got all sniffy because Trump defended Russia by saying we have killers too. I don't for one second think Trump is a Chomskyite-- he says random contradictory things in response to criticism and only God knows what any of it means. But the NYT response was funny in a bitter not at all funny sort of way. We only get into wars because of our love of freedom. Close your eyes and you might wonder who the rightwing fanatic was.
Posted by: Donald | February 15, 2017 at 08:18 PM
But why the outrage over Trump's friendliness with Russia as opposed to any other regime with a bad human rights record...?
If you are asking for a reason why there should be a difference, the short answer is that there probably isn't a good one.
But if you are asking why there is a difference, the answer is pretty simple: history. We have a history of (not, thank God, shooting) conflict with Russia (and the USSR, which is the same for this purpose). We do not have a similar history of conflicts with the various other bad actors. History, and habits, matter in determining how people will react in the present.
Posted by: wj | February 15, 2017 at 09:14 PM
Not good:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/spies-keep-intelligence-from-donald-trump-1487209351
Posted by: Ugh | February 15, 2017 at 09:17 PM
We have a history of supporting bad actors and sometimes of being a bad actor. Trump was accidentally right about that.
He is now bringing his uniquely clarifying gifts to the Israeli Palestinian conflict. The 2ss has been comatose for years and the peace process has been nothing more than a fig leaf so people could pretend we could support Israel and not be responsible for their human rights violations because our hearts were pure and we couldn't make them accept a peace they didn't want. All horse feces, particularly the part about our good intentions.
The only good thing about having this narcisstic dimwit running the country is that some of the usual fecal matter people spout is irrelevant. Trump doesn't realize you are supposed to talk about two states for two people's and Jewish democracy and demographic threats to that ( though demographic threats to democracy does sound like a Trumpian concept). Trump has no idea how to bring about a mutually acceptable 1ss but Netanyahu thinks he is getting a free hand. Israel is exactly the sort of ally Trump America should have. They already have a big beautiful wall.
Posted by: Donald | February 15, 2017 at 09:29 PM
But why the outrage over Trump's friendliness with Russia as opposed to any other regime with a bad human rights record
I set out to make a reply to this, and found myself almost immediately mired in a quagmire of western bias.
Well played, you have given me something to ponder.
Posted by: russell | February 15, 2017 at 10:55 PM
A somewhat recent case:
Reagan Doctor Says 25th Amendment Should Have Been Used in '81
Posted by: CharlesWT | February 15, 2017 at 11:19 PM
Donald is correct: some things are true even if He, Trump says them.
Since gorging itself on stolen Indian lands and stolen African lives, the US has grown fat and happy on a steady diet of meddling in foreign countries and allying itself with some very despicable governments. In pursuit of the material comfort (or at least the surly contentment) of its citizenry (or at least its electorate) the US government has allied itself with foreign suppliers of cheap bananas, petroleum, tube socks, and so forth, while turning a blind eye to their crimes and abuses. Presidents of both parties, in pursuit of election and re-election, have (selfishly, you might say) hewn to this general policy.
He, Trump is outrageously different because of the well-founded (or at least not plausibly refuted) suspicion that his selfishness is of a completely different sort. Keeping Arab theocrats happy for the sake of keeping gas prices low for American drivers is the bog-standard form of (political) selfishness. Making a Russian autocrat happy for the sake of keeping your personal business enterprises solvent is emphatically not.
--TP
Posted by: Tony P. | February 16, 2017 at 01:22 AM
But why the outrage over Trump's friendliness with Russia as opposed to any other regime with a bad human rights record...
Well from a selfishly European perspective, a real concern about getting bits of Europe salami sliced away by the nationalist kleptocrat in charge there.
Posted by: Nigel | February 16, 2017 at 06:07 AM
When did Saudia Arabia get nuclear-tipped ICBMs?
Nobody tells me anything. Sheesh.
Posted by: Snarki, child of Loki | February 16, 2017 at 07:53 AM
But why the outrage over Trump's friendliness with Russia as opposed to any other regime with a bad human rights record...
Perhaps because there seems to be more than a bit of racism built into it, suggesting that in his heart of hearts, Trump shares the intellectual heritage of David Duke and the KKK.
I should note that I'm just guessing, Trump's friendliness with Russia is not in my top 5.
Posted by: liberal japonicus | February 16, 2017 at 07:55 AM
But why the outrage over Trump's friendliness with Russia as opposed to any other regime with a bad human rights record...
I will chime in, although this is only a sort of gut feeling.
The shorter me says that "a bad human rights record" isn't the only parameter people might care about, it's a complicated world. The longer me says...
I think the Russia thing is extra upsetting for a lot of people because Russia is (and has been for most of the lives of older people) arguably a true rival of the US, and that adds a whole other layer of issues to the notion that they are infiltrating the highest reaches of the government. Countries like Saudi Arabia are not potential/true global rivals in that way.
I was born in 1950 and one of my earliest reading memories is of a Civil Defense pamphlet that was lying around the house. It described what would happen if an "atom bomb" hit...peeling skin, burns, mass destruction and death, on and on. I was terrified -- for years -- and "Russia" was at the center of that terror.
I'm not saying it's laudable to feel this way (safer because my country is the bully at the top of the heap), I'm just saying that it's much, much more complicated than just a hypocrisy about race or human rights.
Posted by: JanieM | February 16, 2017 at 10:00 AM
The short version - Because it's fncking RUSSIA!!! (Duh...)
I'm being sort of cute with that, but I think it's a pretty good distillation of what others have written.
Posted by: hairshirthedonist | February 16, 2017 at 10:29 AM
I think Nigel does make a good point. Russia has a much longer history of invading and taking over its neighbors. (Or at least trying to.) Including in the last couple of decades. The neighbors remember. And many of those neighbors are folks rather likely to be reflexively seen by most Americans as "people like us" -- which may be narrow-minded and/or ethnocentric and/or racist, but doesn't change the reality.
Saudi Arabia (for one example) does not have tht history. The Arabs boiling out of the peninsula to spread Islam was a thousand years ago. And in our lifetimes, Yemen is pretty much a new departure for them. They've certainly meddled, and not just by funding mosques peddling their own (previously obscure) version of Islam. But a large and military incursion is new.
One can argue about whether various other human rights abusers that we deal with are less threatening to those outside their borders, or just lack the means to undertake foreign military adventures. But the fact is that they generally don't.
I think it's easier to turn a blind eye to a country's internal bad deeds than to their foreign ones.
Posted by: wj | February 16, 2017 at 11:25 AM
"When did Saudia Arabia get nuclear-tipped ICBMs?"
The implied argument behind the snark doesn't actually work. If Trump is the Manchurian candidate working for Russia, the Russians are unlikely to nuke us. Some of the people criticizing Trump (Michael Morell, for example) seem much more likely to push us into war with Russia if they have the chance. If you want to worry about nuclear war because of Trump, or any war because of Trump, you want to look at Iran or China or North Korea. Some of the Trumpies are itching for a war with Iran. Iran doesn't have nukes, but the long term incentive changes in favor of getting them (or buying them) if we push them. I think Trump has backed down from getting out of the treaty, but he is Trump, so who knows? I think he has also backed down from picking a fight with China, but again, who knows? North Korea and Trump are equally hard to figure out, which could make things exciting there.
But as far as planned wars are concerned, as opposed to stumbling into one with China, I think the place to worry about is Iran, and the Saudis and Israelis are the ones who want us to take care of their problems there and btw, they seem to have an enormous amount of influence with Congress, which drives me freaking nuts when people focus on Russia like foreign influence is something new. What have we been up to in the Mideast and central Asia for the past few decades? War after war after war, some with ground troops, some with air power only and some by proxy and most of them involved the Saudis directly or indirectly. Israel is in there too, pushing for us to fight their enemies.
The wikileaks documents only seems to interest people now because of who probably stole them, but there were some interesting foreign policy tidbits in there, which for the most part got less attention than people talking about the meaningless office gossip and backbiting in the Clinton campaign. The political conversations in this country are mindnumbingly stupid. In a bad mood, which I am in right now, I'd say a President Trump is long overdue. Not in a good way, but because any country this shallow deserves to be ruled by a contemptible self absorbed moron. I don't really mean that, because lots of innocent people are going to be hurt by this jackass. But there is a certain level of frustration with what I see in the press and in many blogs.
With Russia, the odd thing is that some of Trump's picks are not as crazy about Putin as he is, but it doesn't make much sense to say that Trump is Putin's abject admirer and therefore we have to worry about nuclear war with Russia.
Posted by: Donald Johnson | February 16, 2017 at 11:48 AM
...but it doesn't make much sense to say that Trump is Putin's abject admirer and therefore we have to worry about nuclear war with Russia.
Maybe not with us ... for now. And I'm not too confident in Trump's ability to detect and prevent being manipulated by the likes of Putin.
Posted by: hairshirthedonist | February 16, 2017 at 11:55 AM
But as far as planned wars are concerned, as opposed to stumbling into one with China, I think the place to worry about is Iran
I actually think North Korea is more likely to see military action. We might be more likely to be the ones initiating action against Iran. But the Iranians seem unlikely to launch an attack, against Israel or anybody else. They, even the religious fanatics among their leaders, are a little too grounded in reality to commit suicide that way.
Kim, in contrast, seems to assume he can get away with pretty much anything he likes. What constrains him is mostly that he doesn't, yet, have the resources required to act. Once he thinks he is in a position to threaten to hit the US with a nuke, I can see him believing that the US would just stand by while he invades South Korea.
And assuming that he could take the South, at least if the US et al. don't act, is not totally crazy. Seoul is close under a huge number of well dug in northern guns, and could get pretty well leveled in a day. The North probably couldn't win a protracted war, but Kim might figure they could win fast.
Would the US just stand aside (at least if the North was careful not to directly attack US bases)? I suspect not -- although I can see where the current administration might. But if Kim thinks we would....
Posted by: wj | February 16, 2017 at 11:58 AM
This says not a single State Department person was included in WH meetings with Netanyahu earlier this week.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2017/02/17/daily-202-the-price-of-loyalty-to-trump-is-high-and-rising/58a64784e9b69b1406c75cbb/?postshare=7171487344692539&tid=ss_tw&utm_term=.8a95d9b61bda
Posted by: Ugh | February 17, 2017 at 11:41 AM
"Would the US just stand aside (at least if the North was careful not to directly attack US bases)?"
No and, not very likely that they could get from point a to point b without putting US troops in harms way, so no.
Posted by: Marty | February 17, 2017 at 11:45 AM
Aye, that was always put forth as the practical reason for heavy Army concentrations in ROK - in the most concrete, indisputable manner possible, they represent a promise that the US absolutely will not stand by in the event of an invasion. Even if Trump wanted to stand by, he'd only be able to if he redeployed the 2ID et al before the invasion occurred - if we were still there when the DMZ was compromised, the ensuing casualties would raise the domestic cost of withdrawal to an entirely politically infeasible level.
Posted by: Nombrilisme Vide | February 17, 2017 at 01:22 PM
Marty, NV,
Why would Trump worry about Fake News concerning what was happening in Korea? Seriously, it's not at all clear that politically inconvenient facts penetrate his fantasy world ("this administration is running like a fine-tuned machine").
Posted by: wj | February 17, 2017 at 01:37 PM
Because there would be open revolt among the nationalist portion of his base. He's not living in a bubble even if it may seem like it at times, and even to the degree that he tries to be, there are too many people with a foot inside that bubble who wouldn't let him ignore it. If he were really living in a fantasy world, he would never have been elected. His world is spin, not fantasy.
Posted by: Nombrilisme Vide | February 17, 2017 at 03:50 PM
I don't usually stay up late enough to watch Colbert. So I don't know if what's standard, and what's novel. But tonight I was up (to see Julie Andrews; some things are important).
The show led off with "self-reflections" -- quotes from Trump (in his own voice) running down Obama . . . over images of Trump. Brutal.
Posted by: wj | February 18, 2017 at 02:42 AM
Happiness is reading a nice long thread replete with lefty snowflake meltdowns over the childish hallucinations that keep them awake at night. Irony is reading that they think Trump is insane.
You guys are pathetic losers and it is more apparent than ever. Take your meds before it's too late. better yet, double the dose. You need it.
Posted by: MAGA | February 22, 2017 at 11:14 PM
Hey, gang, we've found ourselves a troll!
Is that you, Milo?
--TP
Posted by: Tony P. | February 22, 2017 at 11:34 PM
It's blackhawk. Say bye bye blackhawk.
Posted by: liberal japonicus | February 23, 2017 at 05:02 AM
And not a particularly adept troll either.
Posted by: wj | February 23, 2017 at 07:43 AM